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''The End of Oil: On the Edge of a Perilous New World'' is a non-fiction book by American journalist and author Paul Roberts. Published in 2004, it is Roberts' book-length debut. It provides an analysis of the various problems associated with humanity's reliance on
oil An oil is any nonpolar chemical substance that is composed primarily of hydrocarbons and is hydrophobic (does not mix with water) & lipophilic (mixes with other oils). Oils are usually flammable and surface active. Most oils are unsaturated ...
and other
fossil fuel A fossil fuel is a hydrocarbon-containing material formed naturally in the Earth's crust from the remains of dead plants and animals that is extracted and burned as a fuel. The main fossil fuels are coal, oil, and natural gas. Fossil fuels m ...
s such as coal and natural gas.


Synopsis

Though ''The End of Oil'' is not a chronological history of humanity's use of fossil fuels, Roberts begins by recounting how
Thomas Newcomen Thomas Newcomen (; February 1664 – 5 August 1729) was an English inventor who created the atmospheric engine, the first practical fuel-burning engine in 1712. He was an ironmonger by trade and a Baptist lay preacher by calling. He ...
, in 1712, presented the first large
steam engine A steam engine is a heat engine that performs mechanical work using steam as its working fluid. The steam engine uses the force produced by steam pressure to push a piston back and forth inside a cylinder. This pushing force can be trans ...
, and thus helped spark the
Industrial Revolution The Industrial Revolution was the transition to new manufacturing processes in Great Britain, continental Europe, and the United States, that occurred during the period from around 1760 to about 1820–1840. This transition included going f ...
. He then goes on to explain the problems that have since developed, or may develop in the future, from humanity's reliance on oil and its "geological siblings", coal and natural gas. While there is a chapter on
hydrogen Hydrogen is the chemical element with the symbol H and atomic number 1. Hydrogen is the lightest element. At standard conditions hydrogen is a gas of diatomic molecules having the formula . It is colorless, odorless, tasteless, non-toxic, an ...
as a possible alternative to oil (not as an energy source, but as an energy carrier), the book is not focused on any one solution to the problems it lays out. According to Roberts, oil faces three major dilemmas. Most importantly, all fossil fuels are by their very nature limited in supply; as far as oil is concerned, the resulting dilemma is best known as the question of
peak oil Peak oil is the hypothetical point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which it is argued that production will begin an irreversible decline. It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while ...
. Further, much of the oil consumed by affluent countries such as the United States is extracted in countries that are rather unstable politically, such as some of the members of the
OPEC The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC, ) is a cartel of countries. Founded on 14 September 1960 in Baghdad by the first five members (Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela), it has, since 1965, been headquart ...
. The oil trade is therefore prone to become intertwined with
international relations International relations (IR), sometimes referred to as international studies and international affairs, is the scientific study of interactions between sovereign states. In a broader sense, it concerns all activities between states—such as ...
, although the nature of this interplay is highly controversial, with some citing oil as a reason for conflicts such as the
Iraq War {{Infobox military conflict , conflict = Iraq War {{Nobold, {{lang, ar, حرب العراق (Arabic) {{Nobold, {{lang, ku, شەڕی عێراق (Kurdish languages, Kurdish) , partof = the Iraq conflict (2003–present), I ...
and others denying such claims. Finally, since the burning of fossil fuels releases
carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide (chemical formula ) is a chemical compound made up of molecules that each have one carbon atom covalently double bonded to two oxygen atoms. It is found in the gas state at room temperature. In the air, carbon dioxide is transpar ...
that was previously locked in the ground, humanity's reliance on oil may contribute to
global warming In common usage, climate change describes global warming—the ongoing increase in global average temperature—and its effects on Earth's climate system. Climate change in a broader sense also includes previous long-term changes to E ...
. As to the aims of the book, Roberts states at the end of the prologue:


Predictions for the price of oil

At various points in the book, Roberts makes cautious predictions for the
price of oil The price of oil, or the oil price, generally refers to the spot price of a barrel () of benchmark crude oil—a reference price for buyers and sellers of crude oil such as West Texas Intermediate (WTI), Brent Crude, Dubai Crude, OPEC Ref ...
. These were soon proved to be, if anything, too optimistic. For example, citing ''Arab Oil and Gas'' magazine as a source, Roberts wrote that "in the next five to ten years", if there were to be any large disruption in supply, "prices could easily be bid up past sixty dollars a barrel and kept there for months". In fact, prices passed the sixty-dollar mark as early as June 2005, thirteen months after the book was first published. However, by 2009, oil prices had fallen back under the sixty-dollar mark.


Reception

''The End of Oil'' received a number of positive reviews from American newspapers and review publications.Book jacket of ''The End of Oil'', Mariner Books edition Notably, environmentalist
Bill McKibben William Ernest McKibben (born December 8, 1960)"Bill Ernest McKibben." ''Environmental Encyclopedia''. Edited by Deirdre S. Blanchfield. Farmington Hills, Mich.: Gale, 2009. Retrieved via ''Biography in Context'' database, December 31, 2017. is a ...
, in an article for the
New York Review of Books New is an adjective referring to something recently made, discovered, or created. New or NEW may refer to: Music * New, singer of K-pop group The Boyz Albums and EPs * ''New'' (album), by Paul McCartney, 2013 * ''New'' (EP), by Regurgitator, ...
, described it as "perhaps the best single book ever produced about our energy economy and its environmental implications." Fellow author
Joseph J. Romm Joseph J. Romm (born June 27, 1960) is an American author, editor, physicist and climate expert, who advocates reducing greenhouse gas emissions to limit global warming and increasing energy security through energy efficiency, green energy techno ...
, whose ''
The Hype about Hydrogen ''The Hype About Hydrogen: Fact and Fiction in the Race to Save the Climate'' is a book by Joseph J. Romm, published in 2004 by Island Press and updated in 2005. The book has been translated into German as ''Der Wasserstoff-Boom''. Romm is an ...
'' had been published a few weeks before ''The End of Oil'', called the book "fascinating" and "a stinging rebuke of America's myopic, do-nothing energy policy."Frontmatter of ''The End of Oil'', Mariner Books edition In 2005, it was a finalist for the New York Public Library's Helen Bernstein Book Award.Book jacket of Roberts' 2008 book ''The End of Food'' (Boston: Houghton Mifflin)


Editions

* * *


References


External links


Interview with Roberts about ''The End of Oil''
at
National Public Radio National Public Radio (NPR, stylized in all lowercase) is an American privately and state funded nonprofit media organization headquartered in Washington, D.C., with its NPR West headquarters in Culver City, California. It differs from other n ...
on May 6, 2004 (audio)
The True Debate about Energy: When Oil Runs Out...
{{DEFAULTSORT:End of Oil, The 2004 non-fiction books 2004 in the environment American non-fiction books Houghton Mifflin books Peak oil books