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Steve Selvin (born 1941) is an American
statistician A statistician is a person who works with theoretical or applied statistics. The profession exists in both the private and public sectors. It is common to combine statistical knowledge with expertise in other subjects, and statisticians may wor ...
who is a professor emeritus of
biostatistics Biostatistics (also known as biometry) are the development and application of statistical methods to a wide range of topics in biology. It encompasses the design of biological experiments, the collection and analysis of data from those experime ...
at the
University of California, Berkeley The University of California, Berkeley (UC Berkeley, Berkeley, Cal, or California) is a public land-grant research university in Berkeley, California. Established in 1868 as the University of California, it is the state's first land-grant u ...
. Selvin joined the faculty of the ''School of Public Health'' at UC Berkeley in 1972 and in 1977 he became the head of its biostatistics division. As the head of Undergraduate Management Committee he was instrumental in the development of the school's undergraduate program. In addition to his work at UC Berkeley he also served from 1990 to 1998 as an adjunct professor of
epidemiology Epidemiology is the study and analysis of the distribution (who, when, and where), patterns and determinants of health and disease conditions in a defined population. It is a cornerstone of public health, and shapes policy decisions and evidenc ...
at the
University of Michigan , mottoeng = "Arts, Knowledge, Truth" , former_names = Catholepistemiad, or University of Michigania (1817–1821) , budget = $10.3 billion (2021) , endowment = $17 billion (2021)As o ...
and since 2005 as a professor of biostatistics at the
Johns Hopkins University Johns Hopkins University (Johns Hopkins, Hopkins, or JHU) is a private university, private research university in Baltimore, Maryland. Founded in 1876, Johns Hopkins is the oldest research university in the United States and in the western hem ...
in
Baltimore Baltimore ( , locally: or ) is the List of municipalities in Maryland, most populous city in the U.S. state of Maryland, fourth most populous city in the Mid-Atlantic (United States), Mid-Atlantic, and List of United States cities by popula ...
. UC Berkeley bestowed several awards on Selvin for his achievements in teaching. He received the ''Berkeley Distinguished Teaching Award'' in 1983 and the ''School of Public Health Distinguished Teaching Award'' in 1998. In 2011 at the age of 70 he was awarded a Berkeley Citation. Selvin published over 200 papers and authored several textbooks in the fields of biostatistics and epidemiology. In February 1975 Selvin published a letter entitled ''A Problem in Probability'' in the
American Statistician ''The American Statistician'' is a quarterly peer-reviewed scientific journal covering statistics published by Taylor & Francis on behalf of the American Statistical Association. It was established in 1947. The editor-in-chief is Daniel R. Jeske, ...
. In it he posed and solved a problem, which was later to become known as the
Monty Hall problem The Monty Hall problem is a brain teaser, in the form of a probability puzzle, loosely based on the American television game show ''Let's Make a Deal'' and named after its original host, Monty Hall. The problem was originally posed (and solved) ...
. After receiving some criticism for his suggested solution Selvin wrote a follow-up letter entitled ''On the Monty Hall Problem'', which was published in August of the same year. This was the first time the phrase "Monty Hall Problem" appeared in print. In this second letter Selvin proposed a solution based on
Bayes' theorem In probability theory and statistics, Bayes' theorem (alternatively Bayes' law or Bayes' rule), named after Thomas Bayes, describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. For examp ...
and explicitly outlined some assumptions concerning the moderator's behavior. The problem remained relatively unknown until it was published again by
Marilyn vos Savant Marilyn vos Savant (; born Marilyn Mach; August 11, 1946) is an American magazine columnist who has the highest recorded intelligence quotient (IQ) in the ''Guinness Book of Records'', a competitive category the publication has since retired. S ...
in her column for ''Parade'' magazine in 1990. This publication generated a lot of controversy and made the problem widely known throughout the world. As a result quite a few papers were published on the Monty Hall Problem generated over the years and it is featured in many introductory probability & statistics classes and textbooks. Selvin lives in the
Berkeley, California Berkeley ( ) is a city on the eastern shore of San Francisco Bay in northern Alameda County, California, United States. It is named after the 18th-century Irish bishop and philosopher George Berkeley. It borders the cities of Oakland and Emer ...
area and is married to sculptor
Nancy Selvin Nancy Selvin (born 1943) is an American sculptor, recognized for ceramic works and tableaux that explore the vessel form and balance an interplay of materials, minimal forms, and expressive processes.Muchnic, Suzanne. "Galleries," ''Los Angeles ...
, the epidemiologist
Elizabeth Selvin Elizabeth Selvin (born 1977) is an American diabetes epidemiologist. She is a full professor of epidemiology at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. Early life and education Selvin was born to parents Nancy Selvin and Steve Selv ...
is his daughter.Peterson, Susan H. "Dynamic Still Lifes of Form and Beauty," ''Airbrush Digest'', September/October 1984, p. 24–32.


Works

*''A Problem in Probability''. The American Statistician, February 1975 (first publication of the Monty Hall Problem
online copy
at
JSTOR JSTOR (; short for ''Journal Storage'') is a digital library founded in 1995 in New York City. Originally containing digitized back issues of academic journals, it now encompasses books and other primary sources as well as current issues of j ...
) *''On the Monty Hall Problem''. The American Statistician, August 1975 (first literal mentioning of the phrase "Monty Hall Problem"
online copy (excerpt)
*''Statistical Analysis of Epidemiologic Data''. Oxford University Press, New York, 1991, 3. edition 2004, *''Modern Applied Biostatistical Methods Using SPLUS.'' Oxford University Press, New York, 1998, *''Epidemiologic Analysis: a case-oriented approach.'' Oxford University Press, New York, 2001, *''Biostatistics: How it works.'' Prentice Hall, New York, 2004, *''Survival Analysis for epidemiologic and Medical Research Analysis of Epidemiologic Data''. Cambridge University Press, New York, 2008, *''Statistical Tools for Epidemiologic Research''. Oxford University Press, 2011, *''The Joy Of Statistics: A Treasury Of Elementary Statistical Tools And Their Applications''. Oxford University Press, 2019


References

''Berkeley Citation awarded to biostatistician Steve Selvin for long history of achievement''
School of Public Health (press release), Berkeley, 17. Oktober 2011
Jason Rosenhouse: ''The Monty Hall Problem''. Oxford University Press 2009, , pp. 20-22, 31 ''Dr.Steve Selvin''
. Biography at the website of the ''Association of Schools of Public Health'' (retrieved 2012-9-30)


External links

*http://steveselvinphotography.com/ *http://sph.berkeley.edu/steve-selvin {{DEFAULTSORT:Selvin, Steve American statisticians 1941 births Living people University of Michigan faculty University of California, Berkeley faculty Johns Hopkins University faculty