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Robyn Mason Dawes (July 23, 1936 – December 14, 2010) was an American
psychologist A psychologist is a professional who practices psychology and studies mental states, perceptual, cognitive, emotional, and social processes and behavior. Their work often involves the experimentation, observation, and explanation, interpretatio ...
who specialized in the field of human judgment. His research interests included human irrationality, human cooperation, intuitive expertise, and the United States AIDS policy. He applied linear models to human decision making, including models with equal weights, a method known as unit-weighted regression. He co-wrote an early textbook on
mathematical psychology Mathematical psychology is an approach to psychology, psychological research that is based on mathematical modeling of perceptual, thought, Cognition, cognitive and motor processes, and on the establishment of law-like rules that relate quantifi ...
alongside Clyde Coombs and
Amos Tversky Amos Nathan Tversky (; March 16, 1937 – June 2, 1996) was an Israeli cognitive and mathematical psychologist and a key figure in the discovery of systematic human cognitive bias and handling of risk. Much of his early work concerned th ...
(see below).


Early life and education

Dawes grew up in
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh ( ) is a city in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, United States, and its county seat. It is the List of municipalities in Pennsylvania#Municipalities, second-most populous city in Pennsylvania (after Philadelphia) and the List of Un ...
. He earned his B.A. in Philosophy at
Harvard Harvard University is a private Ivy League research university in Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States. Founded in 1636 and named for its first benefactor, the Puritan clergyman John Harvard, it is the oldest institution of higher lear ...
(1958) and his Master’s in Clinical Psychology (1960) at the
University of Michigan The University of Michigan (U-M, U of M, or Michigan) is a public university, public research university in Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States. Founded in 1817, it is the oldest institution of higher education in the state. The University of Mi ...
before earning his Doctorate in Mathematical Psychology (1963) at the same institution.


Career

Dawes held jobs at the
University of Oregon The University of Oregon (UO, U of O or Oregon) is a Public university, public research university in Eugene, Oregon, United States. Founded in 1876, the university is organized into nine colleges and schools and offers 420 undergraduate and gra ...
, where he served as Department Head for five years, as well as the
Oregon Research Institute The Oregon Research Institute is an American psychology research institute in Eugene, Oregon Eugene ( ) is a city in and the county seat of Lane County, Oregon, United States. It is located at the southern end of the Willamette Valley, near the ...
. In 1985, Dawes joined the Department of Social and Decision Sciences (SDS) at
Carnegie Mellon University Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) is a private research university in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. The institution was established in 1900 by Andrew Carnegie as the Carnegie Technical Schools. In 1912, it became the Carnegie Institu ...
where he served as Department Head for six years eventually becoming the Charles J. Queenan, Jr. University Professor of Psychology. He was a fellow in the
American Academy of Arts and Sciences The American Academy of Arts and Sciences (The Academy) is one of the oldest learned societies in the United States. It was founded in 1780 during the American Revolution by John Adams, John Hancock, James Bowdoin, Andrew Oliver, and other ...
and a member of the National Research Council's Committee on AIDS Research. In 1990, he was awarded the William James Award by the
American Psychological Association The American Psychological Association (APA) is the main professional organization of psychologists in the United States, and the largest psychological association in the world. It has over 170,000 members, including scientists, educators, clin ...
for the book ''Rational Choice in an Uncertain World'', now in its 2nd Edition, which he co-wrote with Reid Hastie. In 1994, Dawes wrote a book called ''House of Cards'' and one of the topics he discusses in this book is the comparison of results between non-professionals and professionals. In 2006, Dawes was elected a Fellow of the
American Statistical Association The American Statistical Association (ASA) is the main professional organization for statisticians and related professionals in the United States. It was founded in Boston, Massachusetts, on November 27, 1839, and is the second-oldest continuous ...
"for creative research on statistics and rational decision-making, contributions to the application of cognitive psychology to survey research, and promotion of careful statistical thinking in psychology and behavioral research." He was a member of the American Psychological Association Ethics Committee.


Books

* * * * *


Selected publications

*Dana, J., & Dawes, R. M. (2004). The superiority of simple alternatives to regression for social science predictions. ''Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics'', volume 29(3), pages 317-331. *Dawes, R. M. (1962). A note on base rates and psychometric efficiency. ''Journal of Consulting Psychology'', volume 26(5), pages 422-424. *Dawes, R. M. (1976). Shallow psychology. In J. S. Carroll & J. W. Payne (Eds.), ''Cognition and social behavior'' (pages 3–12). Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum. *Dawes, R. M. (1980). Social dilemmas. ''Annual Review of Psychology'', volume 31, pages 169-193. *Dawes, R. M. (1988). Proper and improper linear models. In R. M. Dawes (Ed.), ''Rational Choice in an Uncertain World'' (pages 201-227). Orlando, Florida: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich. *Dawes, R. M., Faust, D., Meehl, P. E. (1989). Clinical versus actuarial judgment. ''Science'', volume 243(4899), pages 1668-1674. doi: 10.1126/science.2648573. *Howard, J. W., & Dawes, R. M. (1976). Linear prediction of marital happiness. ''Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin'', volume 2(4), pages 478-480. *Swets, J. A., Dawes, R. M., & Monahan, J. (2000, October). Better decisions through science. ''Scientific American'', pages 82–87.


References


External links


Robyn Dawes' web page at Carnegie Mellon University

Obituary at Carnegie Mellon University
{{DEFAULTSORT:Dawes, Robyn 2010 deaths Carnegie Mellon University faculty 1936 births Harvard College alumni Fellows of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences Fellows of the American Statistical Association University of Michigan alumni University of Oregon faculty 20th-century American psychologists