Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the
49th New Zealand Parliament and in the leadup to the
2011 election by various organisations. The main four are
Television New Zealand
, type = Crown entity
, industry = Broadcast television
, num_locations = New Zealand
, location = Auckland, New Zealand
, area_served = Nationally (New Zealand) and some Pacific Island nations such as the Cook Islands, Fiji, and the Solom ...
,
TV3, ''
The New Zealand Herald
''The New Zealand Herald'' is a daily newspaper published in Auckland, New Zealand, owned by New Zealand Media and Entertainment, and considered a newspaper of record for New Zealand. It has the largest newspaper circulation of all newspapers ...
'' and
Roy Morgan Research
Roy Morgan, formerly known as Roy Morgan Research, is an independent Australian social and political market research and public opinion statistics company headquartered in Melbourne, Victoria. It operates nationally as Roy Morgan and internation ...
. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.
Party vote and key events
Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.
Graphical summary
The first graph below shows trend lines averaged across all polls for parties that have consistently polled on average above the 5.0% threshold. The second graph shows the parties polling over 1% which do not consistently poll above the 5.0% threshold.
Individual polls
*
*
*
Preferred Prime Minister
Individual polls
Other polls
Epsom electorate vote
Voting method referendum
Concern over validity
A new polling company, Horizon, has challenged some of the existing polls' validity as they exclude undecided voters and those who chose not to vote.
["Political poll results may exclude 30%?"](_blank)
''Horizonpoll.co.nz'', 28 May 2011. Retrieved 11 August 2011. Horizon claim that this may be up to 30% in some polls.
However, Horizon's own polling methods have been criticised for their use of a self-selected internet panel.
"For whom the belle polls"
Andrew Balemi, 3 November 2011. Retrieved 17 November 2011.
At the 2008 election only the Green Party
A green party is a formally organized political party based on the principles of green politics, such as social justice, environmentalism and nonviolence.
Greens believe that these issues are inherently related to one another as a foundation ...
gained a proportion of the party vote outside (below) what poll trends would suggest.
See also
*
* Opinion polling for the 2014 New Zealand general election
*Opinion polling for the next New Zealand general election
Several polling firms have conducted opinion polls during the term of the 53rd New Zealand Parliament (2020–present) for the 2023 New Zealand general election. The regular polls are the quarterly polls produced by Television New Zealand (''1 N ...
* Politics of New Zealand
Notes
References
{{NZ general polling
2011
File:2011 Events Collage.png, From top left, clockwise: a protester partaking in Occupy Wall Street heralds the beginning of the Occupy movement; protests against Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi, who was killed that October; a young man celebrate ...
2011 New Zealand general election
New Zealand
New Zealand ( mi, Aotearoa ) is an island country in the southwestern Pacific Ocean. It consists of two main landmasses—the North Island () and the South Island ()—and over 700 smaller islands. It is the sixth-largest island count ...