Opinion Polling For The French Presidential Election, 2012
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This page lists public
opinion poll An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election) is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions ...
s conducted for the
2012 French presidential election Presidential elections in France, Presidential elections were held in France on 22 April 2012 (or 21 April in some overseas departments and territories), with a second round Two-round system, run-off held on 6 May (or 5 May for those same territ ...
, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (''Commission nationale des sondages'') and utilize the quota method.


First round

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for ''
Paris Match ''Paris Match'' () is a French-language weekly news magazine. It covers major national and international news along with celebrity lifestyle features. History and profile A sports news magazine, ''Match l'intran'' (a play on ''L'Intransigeant' ...
'' and
Europe 1 Europe 1, formerly known as Europe n° 1, is a privately owned radio station created in 1955. Owned and operated by Lagardère Active, a subsidiary of the Lagardère Group, it is one of the leading radio broadcasting stations in France and its pro ...
which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*). Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**). The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2012.


Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).
Jean-Pierre Chevènement Jean-Pierre Chevènement (; born 9 March 1939L ...
of the
Citizen and Republican Movement The Citizen and Republican Movement (French language, French: ''Mouvement républicain et citoyen'') is a political party in France. The party replaced in 2002 the Citizens' Movement (''Mouvement des citoyens'', MDC) founded by Jean-Pierre Chev ...
(MRC) withdrew his candidacy on 1 February 2012 after failing to secure significant support.
Christine Boutin Christine Boutin (, born 6 February 1944) is a French former politician leading the small French Christian Democratic Party (France), Christian Democratic Party. She served as a member of the French National Assembly representing Yvelines, fro ...
of the
Christian Democratic Party __NOTOC__ Christian democratic parties are political parties that seek to apply Christian principles to public policy. The underlying Christian democracy movement emerged in 19th-century Europe, largely under the influence of Catholic social tea ...
(PCD) renounced her candidacy on 13 February and announced her support for
Nicolas Sarkozy Nicolas Paul Stéphane Sarközy de Nagy-Bocsa (; ; born 28 January 1955) is a French politician who served as President of France from 2007 to 2012. Born in Paris, he is of Hungarian, Greek Jewish, and French origin. Mayor of Neuilly-sur-Se ...
, as did
Hervé Morin Hervé Morin (born 17 August 1961) is a French politician of the Centrists who has been serving as the first President of the Regional Council of Normandy since January 2016. Under President Nicolas Sarkozy, he was the Minister of Defence. Poli ...
of the
New Centre The Centrists (french: Les Centristes, LC), formerly known as New Centre (''Nouveau Centre'', NC) and European Social Liberal Party (''Parti Social Libéral Européen'', PSLE), is a centre-right political party in France formed by the members of t ...
(NC) on 16 February, followed by
Frédéric Nihous Frédéric Nihous (born 15 August 1967) is a French politician from the Hunting, Fishing, Nature, Traditions (CPNT) party. He was a candidate for the 2007 French presidential election, but was eliminated in the first round of balloting. He wa ...
for
Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions The Rurality Movement (, LMR), formerly Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions (french: Chasse, pêche, nature et traditions; ; CPNT, ) is an agrarianist political party in France that aims to defend the traditional values of rural France. I ...
(CPNT) on 22 February. On 15 March,
Dominique de Villepin Dominique Marie François René Galouzeau de Villepin (; born 14 November 1953) is a French politician who served as Prime Minister of France from 31 May 2005 to 17 May 2007 under President Jacques Chirac. In his career working at the Minist ...
of United Republic (RS) announced that he would not secure enough sponsorships to become a candidate "barring a republican miracle", effectively ending his campaign, and
Corinne Lepage Corinne Dominique Marguerite Lepage (born 11 May 1951) is a French politician. She served as French Minister of the Environment in the Alain Juppé cabinets 1 and II 1995–1997 and as Member of the European Parliament (MEP) 2009–2014 for t ...
of
Cap21 The Citizenship, Action, Participation for the 21st Century (french: Citoyenneté, action, participation pour le e siècle) was a minor green liberal political party in France, founded by Corinne Lepage in 1996 as a political reflection club. ...
was absent from the official list of candidates published on 19 March, having also failed to secure at least 500 sponsorships.


Official campaign


17 October 2011 to 19 March 2012


8 July to 16 October 2011


13 May to 7 July 2011


28 February to 12 May 2011


20 August 2010 to 27 February 2011


29 October 2009 to 19 August 2010


31 October 2007 to 28 October 2009


By region

;Corsica ;Réunion ;French residents overseas


By commune

;Aubagne


Second round

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for ''
Paris Match ''Paris Match'' () is a French-language weekly news magazine. It covers major national and international news along with celebrity lifestyle features. History and profile A sports news magazine, ''Match l'intran'' (a play on ''L'Intransigeant' ...
'' and
Europe 1 Europe 1, formerly known as Europe n° 1, is a privately owned radio station created in 1955. Owned and operated by Lagardère Active, a subsidiary of the Lagardère Group, it is one of the leading radio broadcasting stations in France and its pro ...
which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*). Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**). The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 4 May 2012.


Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).


Hollande–Sarkozy


By first round vote


By region

;Corsica ;Réunion ;French residents overseas


By commune

;Aubagne


Aubry–Sarkozy


Royal–Sarkozy


Strauss-Kahn–Sarkozy


Sarkozy–Le Pen


Hollande–Le Pen


Aubry–Le Pen


Strauss-Kahn–Le Pen


Aubry–Fillon


Strauss-Kahn–Fillon


Delanoë–Sarkozy


Bayrou–Sarkozy


See also

*
Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2012 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2012. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polli ...
*
Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2002 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the nation ...
*
Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2007 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2007 with a run-off on 6 May 2007. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the nation ...
*
Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2017 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French presidential election, which was held on 23 April 2017 with a run-off on 7 May 2017. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the nation ...


References

{{reflist 2012 French presidential election Opinion polling in France
France France (), officially the French Republic ( ), is a country primarily located in Western Europe. It also comprises of Overseas France, overseas regions and territories in the Americas and the Atlantic Ocean, Atlantic, Pacific Ocean, Pac ...