Opinion Polling For The French Presidential Election, 2007
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This page lists public
opinion poll An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election) is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinion ...
s conducted for the
2007 French presidential election Presidential elections were held in France on 21 and 22 April 2007 to elect the successor to Jacques Chirac as president of France (and ''ex officio'' Co-Prince of Andorra) for a five-year term. As no candidate received a majority of the vote, ...
, which was held on 22 April 2007 with a run-off on 6 May 2007. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (''Commission nationale des sondages'') and utilize the quota method.


First round

During the 2007 presidential election,
Ipsos Ipsos Group S.A. () (an acronym of ) is a multinational market research and consulting firm with headquarters in Paris, France. The company was founded in 1975 by Didier Truchot, Chairman of the company, and has been publicly traded on the P ...
launched the first ever rolling poll in France, described as a "continuous electoral barometer", publishing results every day of the week except Sunday for ten weeks starting on 1 March 2007. The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 26 February 2007, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data. The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2007. The TNS Sofres poll conducted from 20 to 21 April was an internal survey which was not distributed during the electoral silence.


Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency). On 6 November 2006, Jean-Pierre Chevènement announced his candidacy in the presidential election, before withdrawing just a month later on 10 December 2006 after concluding an agreement with the
Socialist Party Socialist Party is the name of many different political parties around the world. All of these parties claim to uphold some form of socialism, though they may have very different interpretations of what "socialism" means. Statistically, most of ...
(PS) for an alliance in the subsequent legislative elections. On 7 November,
Nicolas Hulot Nicolas Jacques André Hulot (; born 30 April 1955) is a French journalist and environmental activist. He is the founder and honorary president of the Nicolas Hulot Foundation, an environmental group established in 1990. Hulot ran as a candida ...
launched an appeal to candidates to commit to an "Ecological Pact", but affirmed that he would on 22 January 2007 that he would not stand as a candidate in the election. In an interview published on 28 December 2006, Michèle Alliot-Marie evoked the possibility of a candidacy without the support of her party, having recently founded the think tank "Le Chêne"; however, she ultimately announced her support for
Nicolas Sarkozy Nicolas Paul Stéphane Sarközy de Nagy-Bocsa (; ; born 28 January 1955) is a French politician who served as President of France from 2007 to 2012. Born in Paris, he is of Hungarian, Greek Jewish, and French origin. Mayor of Neuilly-sur-Se ...
on 12 January 2007. In an interview published on 11 March,
Corinne Lepage Corinne Dominique Marguerite Lepage (born 11 May 1951) is a French politician. She served as French Minister of the Environment in the Alain Juppé cabinets 1 and II 1995–1997 and as Member of the European Parliament (MEP) 2009–2014 for t ...
announced that she would back
François Bayrou François René Jean Lucien Bayrou (; born 25 May 1951) is a French politician who has presided over the Democratic Movement (MoDem) since he founded it in 2007. A centrist, he was a candidate in the 2002, 2007 and 2012 presidential elections ...
despite having "the capacity" to obtain the 500 sponsorships necessary to be a candidate. In an interview published on 17 March,
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (; born 7 March 1961), sometimes referred to by his initials NDA, is a French politician serving since 2008 as President of minor party Debout la France. He is its only member of the National Assembly, elected for Essonne' ...
announced that he had failed to gather enough sponsorships to stand in the election.
Jacques Chirac Jacques René Chirac (, , ; 29 November 193226 September 2019) was a Politics of France, French politician who served as President of France from 1995 to 2007. Chirac was previously Prime Minister of France from 1974 to 1976 and from 1986 to ...
announced on 11 March that he would not seek a third term, before finally backing the candidacy of Sarkozy on 21 March. Because the TNS Sofres poll conducted from 20 to 21 April was not published during the electoral silence, it is not included in the average below.


Official campaign


17 November 2006 to 19 March 2007


17 July to 16 November 2006


16 May to 16 July 2006


12 February 2005 to 15 May 2006


By region

;Nord-Pas-de-Calais ;Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur ;Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur and Languedoc-Roussillon ;Corsica ;La Réunion


By department

;Alpes-de-Haute-Provence, Hautes-Alpes, and Vaucluse ;Alpes-Maritimes, Bouches-du-Rhône, and Var


By commune

;Aix-en-Provence ;Avignon ;Marseille ;Nice ;Toulon


Second round

During the 2007 presidential election,
Ipsos Ipsos Group S.A. () (an acronym of ) is a multinational market research and consulting firm with headquarters in Paris, France. The company was founded in 1975 by Didier Truchot, Chairman of the company, and has been publicly traded on the P ...
launched the first ever rolling poll in France, described as a "continuous electoral barometer", publishing results every day of the week except Sunday for ten weeks starting on 1 March 2007. The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 26 February 2007, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data. The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 4 May 2007.


Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).


Royal–Sarkozy


By region

;Nord-Pas-de-Calais ;Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur ;Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur and Languedoc-Roussillon ;Corsica ;La Réunion


By department

;Alpes-de-Haute-Provence, Hautes-Alpes, and Vaucluse ;Alpes-Maritimes, Bouches-du-Rhône, and Var ;Ariège, Aveyron, Haute-Garonne, Gers, Lot, Hautes-Pyrénées, Tarn, Tarn-et-Garonne, Aude, and Lot-et-Garonne The BVA poll was conducted for ''
La Dépêche du Midi ''La Dépêche'', formally ''La Dépêche du Midi'', is a regional daily newspaper published in Toulouse in Southwestern France with seventeen editions for different areas of the Midi-Pyrénées region. The main local editions are for Toulouse, ...
'' in the 10 departments where the newspaper is circulated, of which eight are in the
Midi-Pyrénées Midi-Pyrénées (; oc, Miègjorn-Pirenèus or ; es, Mediodía-Pirineos) is a former administrative region of France. Since 1 January 2016, it has been part of the new region of Occitania. It was the largest region of Metropolitan France by a ...
region ( Ariège,
Aveyron Aveyron (; oc, Avairon; ) is a department in the region of Occitania, Southern France. It was named after the river Aveyron. Its inhabitants are known as ''Aveyronnais'' (masculine) or ''Aveyronnaises'' (feminine) in French. The inhabitan ...
,
Haute-Garonne Haute-Garonne (; oc, Nauta Garona, ; en, Upper Garonne) is a department in the Occitanie region of Southwestern France. Named after the river Garonne, which flows through the department. Its prefecture and main city is Toulouse, the country' ...
,
Gers Gers (; oc, Gers or , ) is a department in the region of Occitania, Southwestern France. Named after the Gers River, its inhabitants are called the ''Gersois'' and ''Gersoises'' in French. In 2019, it had a population of 191,377.
, Lot,
Hautes-Pyrénées Hautes-Pyrénées (; Gascon/ Occitan: ''Nauts Pirenèus / Hauts Pirenèus'' awts piɾeˈnɛʊs es, Altos Pirineos; ca, Alts Pirineus alts piɾiˈneʊs English: Upper Pyrenees) is a department in the region of Occitania, southwestern France. ...
, Tarn, and
Tarn-et-Garonne Tarn-et-Garonne (; oc, Tarn e Garona ) is a department in the Occitania region in Southern France. It is traversed by the rivers Tarn and Garonne, from which it takes its name. The area was originally part of the former provinces of Quercy and ...
), as well as
Aude Aude (; ) is a department in Southern France, located in the Occitanie region and named after the river Aude. The departmental council also calls it " Cathar Country" (French: ''Pays cathare'') after a group of religious dissidents active ...
and
Lot-et-Garonne Lot-et-Garonne (, oc, Òlt e Garona) is a department in the Nouvelle-Aquitaine region of Southwestern France. Named after the rivers Lot and Garonne, it had a population of 331,271 in 2019.Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2007 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2007. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polli ...
*
Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2002 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the nation ...
*
Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2012 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the nation ...
*
Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2017 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French presidential election, which was held on 23 April 2017 with a run-off on 7 May 2017. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the nation ...


References


External links


Notices of the French polling commission
{{in lang, fr 2007 French presidential election Opinion polling in France
France France (), officially the French Republic ( ), is a country primarily located in Western Europe. It also comprises of overseas regions and territories in the Americas and the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans. Its metropolitan area ...