This page lists public
opinion poll
An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election) is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions ...
s conducted for the
2002 French legislative election
The French legislative elections took place on 9 and 16 June 2002 to elect the 12th National Assembly of France, National Assembly of the French Fifth Republic, Fifth Republic, in a context of political crisis.
The Socialist Prime Minister Lio ...
s, which were held in two rounds on 9 and 16 June 2002.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (''Commission nationale des sondages'') and utilize the
quota method.
Graphical summary
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).
First round
The BVA poll conducted in October 1998 tested
Ecology Generation
Ecology Generation (french: Génération écologie) is one of the four green parties in France, along with Europe Ecology – The Greens (), the Independent Ecological Movement (), and Cap Écologie. Founded in 1990 by Brice Lalonde, Environmen ...
(GE).
The Ipsos poll of 125 constituencies was conducted in seven categories of constituencies: 36 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 10 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, 21 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the left, 4 constituencies with left-FN duels won by the left in 1997 where the right improved upon its score and could this advance to the second round in 2002, 34 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 7 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, and 13 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the right.
;In 125 constituencies
Second round seat projections
Projections marked with an asterisk (*) are for 555 deputies representing
metropolitan France
Metropolitan France (french: France métropolitaine or ''la Métropole''), also known as European France (french: Territoire européen de la France) is the area of France which is geographically in Europe. This collective name for the European ...
. The Ipsos projection on 12 June was constructed using interviews in 198 constituencies where the outcome appeared uncertain.
By second round configuration
The Ipsos poll of 125 constituencies was conducted in seven categories of constituencies: 36 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 10 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, 21 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the left, 4 constituencies with left-FN duels won by the left in 1997 where the right improved upon its score and could this advance to the second round in 2002, 34 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 7 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, and 13 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the right.
Older values provided by Ipsos in 198 uncertain constituencies were constructed using older national polls conducted by the pollster.
PS/PCF/LV–UMP/UDF
Ifop specifically named the PS and UMP. Sofres specifically named the PCF, PS, and LV, and the UMP (UDF, RPR, and DVD). In 2000, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the RPR, UDF, and DL. In the polls conducted from 10 to 11 May 2002 and of 198 constituencies, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the RPR, UDF, and DL. Thereafter, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the UMP and UDF.
;In 198 constituencies
;In 125 constituencies
PS/PCF/LV–UMP/UDF–FN
Ifop specifically named the PS, UMP, and FN. Sofres specifically named the PCF, PS, and LV; the UMP (UDF, RPR, and DVD); and the FN and MNR. In the polls conducted from 10 to 11 May 2002 and of 198 constituencies, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV; the RPR, UDF, and DL; and the FN. Thereafter, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV; the UMP and UDF; and the FN.
Ipsos polls, denoted with an asterisk (*), only tested this scenario in constituencies where
Jean-Marie Le Pen
Jean Louis Marie Le Pen (, born 20 June 1928) is a French far-right politician who served as President of the National Front from 1972 to 2011. He also served as Honorary President of the National Front from 2011 to 2015.
Le Pen graduated fro ...
and
Bruno Mégret
Bruno Mégret (; born 4 April 1949) is a French former nationalist politician. He was the leader of the Mouvement National Républicain political party, but retired in 2008 from all political action.
Youth and studies
Born in Paris, Bruno Mégre ...
together obtained at least 12.5% of the vote in the preceding
presidential election
A presidential election is the election of any head of state whose official title is President.
Elections by country
Albania
The president of Albania is elected by the Assembly of Albania who are elected by the Albanian public.
Chile
The pre ...
.
;In 79 of 125 constituencies
UMP–FN
PS–FN
By constituency
First round
Bouches-du-Rhône's 1st
Bouches-du-Rhône's 3rd
Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th
Bouches-du-Rhône's 5th
Bouches-du-Rhône's 8th
Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 2nd
Paris's 11th
Paris's 16th
Bernard Pons
Bernard Pons (18 July 1926 – 27 April 2022) was a French politician and medical doctor who was a member of the Union of Democrats for the Republic from 1971 to 1976 and a member of the Rally for the Republic party thereafter. He served as Sec ...
was eligible to continue to the second round, but instead announced his retirement from politics after the first round, allowing
Françoise de Panafieu
Françoise de Panafieu (born 12 December 1948) is a French politician, member of The Republicans (LR) party and mayor of the 17th arrondissement of Paris between 2001 and 2008.
Political career
De Panafieu was a member of the French Cabinet a ...
to win unopposed on 16 June 2002.
Tarn-et-Garonne's 1st
Vaucluse's 4th
Jean-Pierre Lambertin was eligible to continue through to the second round, but instead withdrew his candidacy.
Essonne's 1st
Seine-Saint-Denis's 9th
Val-d'Oise's 5th
Second round
Bouches-du-Rhône's 1st
Bouches-du-Rhône's 3rd
Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th
Bouches-du-Rhône's 5th
Bouches-du-Rhône's 8th
Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 2nd
Paris's 11th
Paris's 16th
Tarn-et-Garonne's 1st
Vaucluse's 4th
Essonne's 1st
Seine-Saint-Denis's 9th
Val-d'Oise's 5th
See also
*
Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2002
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the nation ...
*
Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2007
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2007.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polli ...
*
Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2012
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2012.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polli ...
*
Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2017
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 11 and 18 June 2017.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polli ...
References
External links
Notices of the French polling commission{{in lang, fr
Opinion polling in France
France
France (), officially the French Republic ( ), is a country primarily located in Western Europe. It also comprises of Overseas France, overseas regions and territories in the Americas and the Atlantic Ocean, Atlantic, Pacific Ocean, Pac ...