Opinion Polling For The April 2019 Israeli Legislative Election
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In the run-up to the April 2019 Israeli legislative election, which was held on 9 April, various organisations carried out
opinion poll An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election) is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions ...
ing to gauge voting intentions in
Israel Israel (; he, יִשְׂרָאֵל, ; ar, إِسْرَائِيل, ), officially the State of Israel ( he, מְדִינַת יִשְׂרָאֵל, label=none, translit=Medīnat Yīsrāʾēl; ), is a country in Western Asia. It is situated ...
. Results of such polls are displayed in this article, ranging from the previous legislative election, held on 17 March 2015, to the 2019 election.


Campaign period


Electoral threshold

Polls do not take the
electoral threshold The electoral threshold, or election threshold, is the minimum share of the primary vote that a candidate or political party requires to achieve before they become entitled to representation or additional seats in a legislature. This limit can ...
(currently 3.25%) into account in a uniform fashion. Some polls reported the number of seats each party would win purely according to the percentages, as though there were no threshold; others eliminated parties that polled below the threshold and distributed the 120 available
Knesset The Knesset ( he, הַכְּנֶסֶת ; "gathering" or "assembly") is the unicameral legislature of Israel. As the supreme state body, the Knesset is sovereign and thus has complete control of the entirety of the Israeli government (with ...
seats only among those who passed it. As a result, parties that polled at or near the threshold can show inconsistent results, bouncing between 0 and the minimum 3 or 4 seats. Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.


Graphs

These graphs show the polling trends from the time Knesset candidate lists were finalized on 21 February, until the day of the election. No polls were published from Friday before the election until the election date. If more than one poll was conducted on the same day, the graphs show the average of the polls for that date.


Blocs

;Legend * Right-of-centre parties: all current government parties—
Likud Likud ( he, הַלִּיכּוּד, HaLikud, The Consolidation), officially known as Likud – National Liberal Movement, is a major centre-right to right-wing political party in Israel. It was founded in 1973 by Menachem Begin and Ariel Sharon ...
,
Kulanu Kulanu ( he, כולנו, lit. ''All of Us'') was a centrist political party in Israel founded by Moshe Kahlon that focused on economic and cost-of-living issues. History The party was established on 27 November 2014 following months of specu ...
, Shas, United Torah Judaism (UTJ),
Union of the Right-Wing Parties The Union of Right-wing Parties (, ''Ihud Miflagot HaYamin'') was a short-lived electoral alliance of right-wing to far-right religious Zionist parties which included The Jewish Home, Otzma Yehudit, and Tkuma. The list was created ahead of th ...
(URWP), and New Right—as well as Yisrael Beiteinu and Zehut. * Centre and left-of-centre parties: Labor, Blue & White, Ra'am- Balad, Hadash-
Ta'al Ta'al ( he, תַּעַ״ל, an acronym for he, תְּנוּעָה עֲרָבִית לְהִתְחַדְּשׁוּת, label=none, lit=Arab Movement for Renewal, ar, الحركة العربية للتغيير) is an Israeli Arab political party ...
,
Meretz Meretz ( he, מֶרֶצ, ) is a left-wing political party in Israel. The party was formed in 1992 by the merger of Ratz, Mapam and Shinui, and was at its peak between 1992 and 1996 when it had 12 seats. It currently has no seats in the Knesset ...
, and Gesher. Note: Political blocs do not necessarily determine the exact makeup of post-election coalitions.


Parties


Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then both figures are shaded. Parties that fall below the threshold are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%) instead of the seats they would have gotten. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–). These tables list the polls published from the time that Yisrael Beiteinu left the government coalition in mid-November 2018, until election day. ;Legend * R — sum of right-of-centre parties, including all current government parties—
Likud Likud ( he, הַלִּיכּוּד, HaLikud, The Consolidation), officially known as Likud – National Liberal Movement, is a major centre-right to right-wing political party in Israel. It was founded in 1973 by Menachem Begin and Ariel Sharon ...
,
Kulanu Kulanu ( he, כולנו, lit. ''All of Us'') was a centrist political party in Israel founded by Moshe Kahlon that focused on economic and cost-of-living issues. History The party was established on 27 November 2014 following months of specu ...
, Shas, United Torah Judaism (UTJ),
Union of the Right-Wing Parties The Union of Right-wing Parties (, ''Ihud Miflagot HaYamin'') was a short-lived electoral alliance of right-wing to far-right religious Zionist parties which included The Jewish Home, Otzma Yehudit, and Tkuma. The list was created ahead of th ...
(URWP), and New Right—as well as Yisrael Beiteinu and Zehut. * L — sum of centre and left-of-centre parties, including: Labor, Blue & White, Ra'am- Balad, Hadash-
Ta'al Ta'al ( he, תַּעַ״ל, an acronym for he, תְּנוּעָה עֲרָבִית לְהִתְחַדְּשׁוּת, label=none, lit=Arab Movement for Renewal, ar, الحركة العربية للتغيير) is an Israeli Arab political party ...
,
Meretz Meretz ( he, מֶרֶצ, ) is a left-wing political party in Israel. The party was formed in 1992 by the merger of Ratz, Mapam and Shinui, and was at its peak between 1992 and 1996 when it had 12 seats. It currently has no seats in the Knesset ...
, and Gesher. Note: Political blocs do not necessarily determine the exact makeup of post-election coalitions.


Student polls

This table lists polls answered by Israeli college and university students.


20th Knesset

This table lists the polls published from the beginning of the
20th Knesset The members of the 20th Knesset were elected on 17 March 2015 and sworn in on 31 March 2015. Members of the Knesset Replacements The twentieth Knesset had the highest number of replacements in Israeli history, with at least 27 members leavi ...
to the time that Yisrael Beiteinu left the government coalition in mid-November 2018. ;Legend: * C — sum of 2015 government coalition parties, including:
Likud Likud ( he, הַלִּיכּוּד, HaLikud, The Consolidation), officially known as Likud – National Liberal Movement, is a major centre-right to right-wing political party in Israel. It was founded in 1973 by Menachem Begin and Ariel Sharon ...
,
Kulanu Kulanu ( he, כולנו, lit. ''All of Us'') was a centrist political party in Israel founded by Moshe Kahlon that focused on economic and cost-of-living issues. History The party was established on 27 November 2014 following months of specu ...
,
The Jewish Home The Jewish Home ( he, הַבַּיִת הַיְהוּדִי, HaBayit HaYehudi) is an Orthodox Jewish and religious Zionist political party in Israel Israel (; he, יִשְׂרָאֵל, ; ar, إِسْرَائِيل, ), officially the ...
, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Yisrael Beiteinu (joined in 2016). * O — sum of opposition parties, including:
Zionist Union The Zionist Union ( he, הַמַחֲנֶה הַצִיּוֹנִי, translit. ''HaMaḥaneh HaẒiyoni'', lit. ''the Zionist Camp'') was a centre-left political alliance in Israel. It was established in December 2014 by the Israeli Labor Party ...
( Labor Party and Hatnuah),
Yesh Atid Yesh Atid ( he, יֵשׁ עָתִיד, , There Is a Future) is a liberal political party in Israel. Founded by Yair Lapid in 2012, it seeks to represent what it considers the centre of Israeli society: the secular middle class. It focuses prima ...
,
Joint List The Joint List ( ar, القائمة المشتركة, ''al-Qa'imah al-Mushtarakah'', he, הָרְשִׁימָה הַמְּשֻׁתֶּפֶת, ''HaReshima HaMeshutefet'') was a political alliance of four of the Arab-Israeli, Arab-majority politi ...
and
Meretz Meretz ( he, מֶרֶצ, ) is a left-wing political party in Israel. The party was formed in 1992 by the merger of Ratz, Mapam and Shinui, and was at its peak between 1992 and 1996 when it had 12 seats. It currently has no seats in the Knesset ...
, as well as independent MK
Orly Levy Orly () is a commune in the southern suburbs of Paris, Île-de-France. It is located from the center of Paris. The name of Orly came from Latin ''Aureliacum'', "the villa of Aurelius". Orly Airport partially lies on the territory of the com ...
who resigned from Yisrael Beiteinu in 2016.


Scenario polls


If Netanyahu is indicted


Mergers

Multiple polls were published about hypothetical mergers, some of which eventually materialized during the pre-campaign, such as Gantz, Ya'alon, Ashkenazi and Lapid ( Blue and White), or Jewish Home, Tkuma and Otzma Yehudit (
Union of the Right-Wing Parties The Union of Right-wing Parties (, ''Ihud Miflagot HaYamin'') was a short-lived electoral alliance of right-wing to far-right religious Zionist parties which included The Jewish Home, Otzma Yehudit, and Tkuma. The list was created ahead of th ...
). ;Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu ;Hosen with Telem (Moshe Ya'alon) ;Hosen with Hatnuah (Tzipi Livni) ;Hosen with Yesh Atid (Yair Lapid) ;Hosen with the Zionist Union ;Hosen with Yesh Atid and Labor ;Hosen with Yesh Atid and Gabi Ashkenazi ;Hosen with Yesh Atid, Labor, Telem, Hatnua, Ashkenazi, Barak ;Hosen with Kulanu and Gabi Ashkenazi ;Union of right-wing parties ;Haredim ;Yesh Atid and Hatnuah ;Labor and Meretz ;Multiple mergers: Labor and Meretz, Hosen with Yesh Atid and Gabi Ashkenazi, Jewish Home and Tkuma


Preferred Prime Minister polls

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister. Their responses are given as percentages in the tables below.


Notes


References

{{DEFAULTSORT:Opinion polling for the 2019 04 Israeli legislative election Opinion polling in Israel