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Gilbert Norman Plass (March 22, 1920 – March 1, 2004) was a
Canadian Canadians (french: Canadiens) are people identified with the country of Canada. This connection may be residential, legal, historical or cultural. For most Canadians, many (or all) of these connections exist and are collectively the source o ...
physicist who in the 1950s made predictions about the increase in global atmospheric carbon dioxide () levels in the 20th century and its effect on the average temperature of the planet that closely match measurements reported half a century later.Gilbert N. Plass, James Rodger Fleming, and
Gavin Schmidt Gavin A. Schmidt is a climatologist, climate modeler and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, and co-founder of the award-winning climate science blog RealClimate. Work He was educated at The Corsham Scho ...

"Carbon Dioxide and the Climate"
''
American Scientist __NOTOC__ ''American Scientist'' (informally abbreviated ''AmSci'') is an American bimonthly science and technology magazine published since 1913 by Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Society. In the beginning of 2000s the headquarters was in New ...
'', 98(1) 58-62. An abridged reprint of Plass's 1959 ''Scientific American'' paper with commentary by Fleming and Schmidt


Biography

Plass worked most of his life as a
physicist A physicist is a scientist who specializes in the field of physics, which encompasses the interactions of matter and energy at all length and time scales in the physical universe. Physicists generally are interested in the root or ultimate caus ...
in the United States. He graduated from Harvard University in 1941 and earned a PhD in physics from Princeton University in 1947. He worked as an associate physicist at the Metallurgical Laboratory (Manhattan District) of the University of Chicago from 1942 to 1945. He became an instructor of physics at Johns Hopkins University in 1946, and eventually became an associate professor there. In 1955, leaving academia, he held a job for a year as a staff scientist with
Lockheed Aircraft Corporation The Lockheed Corporation was an American aerospace manufacturer. Lockheed was founded in 1926 and later merged with Martin Marietta to form Lockheed Martin in 1995. Its founder, Allan Lockheed, had earlier founded the similarly named but ot ...
. He then joined the advanced research staff at the
Aeronutronic Aeronutronic was a defense related division of Ford Aerospace, owned by Ford Motor Company, and based in Newport Beach, Orange County, California. The Engineering and Research Center campus was located on Jamboree Road at Ford Road, overlooking ...
division of the Ford Motor Company. In 1960, he became manager of the research lab at Ford's theoretical physics department and a consulting editor of the journal ''Infrared Physics'' (now called '' Infrared Physics and Technology''). In 1963, he accepted a position as the first professor of atmospheric and space science at the Southwest Center for Advanced Studies (now
The University of Texas at Dallas The University of Texas at Dallas (UTD or UT Dallas) is a public research university in Richardson, Texas. It is one of the largest public universities in the Dallas area and the northernmost institution of the University of Texas system. It w ...
), where he remained for five years. In 1968, he arrived at
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University (Texas A&M, A&M, or TAMU) is a public university, public, Land-grant university, land-grant, research university in College Station, Texas. It was founded in 1876 and became the flagship institution of the Texas A&M Unive ...
, where he served as professor of physics and head of the department.


Carbon dioxide research

In 1953 Plass told '' Time'' magazine of his work on the effects of from industrial sources as a
greenhouse gas A greenhouse gas (GHG or GhG) is a gas that absorbs and emits radiant energy within the thermal infrared range, causing the greenhouse effect. The primary greenhouse gases in Earth's atmosphere are water vapor (), carbon dioxide (), methane ...
, and the potential implications of an increased concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for global warming. He said, "At its present rate of increase, the in the atmosphere will raise the earth's average temperature 1.5°
Fahrenheit The Fahrenheit scale () is a temperature scale based on one proposed in 1724 by the physicist Daniel Gabriel Fahrenheit (1686–1736). It uses the degree Fahrenheit (symbol: °F) as the unit. Several accounts of how he originally defined his ...
every 100 years. ... for centuries to come, if man's industrial growth continues, the earth's climate will continue to grow warmer." The award-winning short film '' Invisible Blanket'' (2018) was based on Plass' article in ''Time''. From 1956 onwards, Plass published a series of papers on the topic, partly based on advanced calculations of the absorption of infrared radiation, and he made use of early electronic computers. He predicted that a doubling of would warm the planet by 3.6 °C, that levels in 2000 would be 30% higher than in 1900 and that the planet would be about 1 °C warmer in 2000 than in 1900. In 2007 the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report estimated a climate sensitivity of 2 to 4.5 °C for doubling, a rise of 37% since pre-industrial times and a 1900-2000 warm-up of around 0.7 °C. Nathaniel Rich recognizes Plass in his 2019 bestseller '' Losing Earth''.


Other work

Plass was an avid
philatelist Philately (; ) is the study of postage stamps and postal history. It also refers to the collection and appreciation of stamps and other philatelic products. Philately involves more than just stamp collecting or the study of postage; it is possi ...
, and founded the United States Possessions Philatelic Society in 1978. He then served as the editor of their journal, ''Possessions'', for 14 years. He also hosted a classical-music oriented radio program called ''Collector's Choice'' on
KAMU-FM KAMU-FM (90.9 FM) is a public radio station in College Station, Texas, United States. It is owned and operated by Texas A&M University, and is a sister station to PBS member KAMU-TV (channel 15). The two stations share studios at the Moore Comm ...
for many years.


Bibliography

* *Plass, G.N., 1956, Carbon Dioxide and the Climate, ''
American Scientist __NOTOC__ ''American Scientist'' (informally abbreviated ''AmSci'') is an American bimonthly science and technology magazine published since 1913 by Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Society. In the beginning of 2000s the headquarters was in New ...
'' 44, p. 302–16. * *Plass, G.N., 1956
The Carbon Dioxide Theory of Climatic Change
'' Tellus'' VIII, 2. (1956), p. 140–154. *Plass, G.N., 1959, Carbon Dioxide and Climate, '' Scientific American'', July, p. 41–47.


See also

* Greenhouse effect


References


External links


IEEE

''American Scientist'' profile

''Scientific American'' article
{{DEFAULTSORT:Plass, Gilbert 1920 births 2004 deaths Canadian educators 20th-century Canadian physicists Canadian atmospheric scientists Harvard University alumni Princeton University alumni Johns Hopkins University faculty University of Texas at Arlington faculty Texas A&M University faculty Canadian expatriates in the United States 20th-century American physicists