Gerard Lyons
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Gerard Patrick Lyons (born 31 March 1961) is a British economist.


Biography

Gerard Lyons belongs to an immigrant
Irish Catholic Irish Catholics are an ethnoreligious group native to Ireland whose members are both Catholic and Irish. They have a large diaspora, which includes over 36 million American citizens and over 14 million British citizens (a quarter of the Briti ...
family from Kilburn, North West London. Lyons attended St Mary's Primary School in Kilburn and
Cardinal Vaughan Memorial School , established = , closed = , type = Comprehensive, academy , religious_affiliation = Roman Catholic , president = , head_label = Headmaster , head ...
in Holland Park, London. He studied at the
University of Liverpool , mottoeng = These days of peace foster learning , established = 1881 – University College Liverpool1884 – affiliated to the federal Victoria Universityhttp://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukla/2004/4 University of Manchester Act 200 ...
followed by a Masters in Economics at the
University of Warwick , mottoeng = Mind moves matter , established = , type = Public research university , endowment = £7.0 million (2021) , budget = £698.2 million (2020â ...
. In 1985, he completed his PhD at
Queen Mary, University of London , mottoeng = With united powers , established = 1785 – The London Hospital Medical College1843 – St Bartholomew's Hospital Medical College1882 – Westfield College1887 – East London College/Queen Mary College , type = Public researc ...
.


Financial sector career

Lyons started his career as an economist at
Chase Manhattan Bank JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., doing business as Chase Bank or often as Chase, is an American national bank headquartered in New York City, that constitutes the consumer and commercial banking subsidiary of the U.S. multinational banking and fi ...
in the Europe Area Office from 1985 to 1986. From 1986 to 1989 he was the Chief UK Economist at
Swiss Bank Corporation Swiss Bank Corporation was a Swiss investment bank and financial services company located in Switzerland. Prior to its merger, the bank was the third largest in Switzerland with over CHF300 billion of assets and CHF11.7 billion of equ ...
. From 1989 to 1999 he was Chief Economist and Executive Director at
Dai-Ichi Kangyo Bank , abbreviated as , was one of the largest banks in the world during the latter half of the 20th century. Dai-Ichi Kangyo Bank was created in 1971 by a consortium of two banks: Dai-Ichi Bank, Japan's oldest bank, and Nippon Kangyo Bank, a state f ...
. Then from 1999 to 2012, Lyons was the Chief Economist and Group Head of Global Research at Standard Chartered Bank, where he was in charge of a division of about 180 staff. In 2010 and 2011, Lyons' team at Standard Chartered was ranked as the top forecasting team globally by
Bloomberg Bloomberg may refer to: People * Daniel J. Bloomberg (1905–1984), audio engineer * Georgina Bloomberg (born 1983), professional equestrian * Michael Bloomberg (born 1942), American businessman and founder of Bloomberg L.P.; politician and m ...
. On leaving Standard Chartered, ''
The Times ''The Times'' is a British daily national newspaper based in London. It began in 1785 under the title ''The Daily Universal Register'', adopting its current name on 1 January 1788. ''The Times'' and its sister paper '' The Sunday Times'' (f ...
'' wrote that Lyons "(had) become one of the most influential pundits on the global economy". Prior to this Lyons reinforced his own reputation as an accurate forecaster with being one of two British economists predicting in August 2008, a month before Lehman Brothers collapsed, a deep imminent recession. He anticipated a GDP fall of 1.6% for the third quarter of 2008 when the consensus predicted a rise of 0.9%. Other accurate contrarian calls include correctly predicting that the
Lawson Boom The Lawson Boom was the macroeconomic conditions prevailing in the United Kingdom at the end of the 1980s, which became associated with the policies of Margaret Thatcher's Chancellor of the Exchequer, Nigel Lawson. The term ''Lawson Boom'' was ...
would end in a bust, as well arguing for the economic benefits of leaving the
European Exchange Rate Mechanism The European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM II) is a system introduced by the European Economic Community on 1 January 1999 alongside the introduction of a single currency, the euro (replacing ERM 1 and the euro's predecessor, the ECU) as ...
. Regarding the latter, Lyons wrote in ''
The Observer ''The Observer'' is a British newspaper published on Sundays. It is a sister paper to ''The Guardian'' and '' The Guardian Weekly'', whose parent company Guardian Media Group Limited acquired it in 1993. First published in 1791, it is the ...
'' in 1992 that " mething will have to give: either the government's exchange-rate commitment or the economy," and he has called the euro "probably the worst economic idea ever thought up by anyone anywhere at any time". Currently, Lyons is Chief Economic Strategist at Netwealth, an independent non-executive director at the
Bank of China The Bank of China (BOC; ) is a Chinese majority state-owned commercial bank headquartered in Beijing and the fourth largest bank in the world. The Bank of China was founded in 1912 by the Republican government as China's central bank, repl ...
, and a Senior Fellow at the think tank
Policy Exchange Policy Exchange is a British conservative think tank based in London. In 2007 it was described in ''The Daily Telegraph'' as "the largest, but also the most influential think tank on the right". ''The Washington Post'' said Policy Exchange's re ...
. Lyons also sits, since 2008, on the Advisory Board of the
Grantham Institute – Climate Change and Environment The Grantham Institute – Climate Change and Environment (formerly Grantham Institute for Climate Change) is one of five global institutes at Imperial College London and one of three Grantham-sponsored centres in the UK. The institute was found ...
; and has been a member of the Advisory Board of Warwick Business School since 2014.


Public sector career

In 1999, Lyons was a member of the 'Commission on the £ Sterling', established by the Leader of the Opposition
William Hague William is a male given name of Germanic origin.Hanks, Hardcastle and Hodges, ''Oxford Dictionary of First Names'', Oxford University Press, 2nd edition, , p. 276. It became very popular in the English language after the Norman conquest of Engl ...
. He and
Ruth Lea Ruth Jane Lea, Baroness Lea of Lymm, (born 22 September 1947) is a British parliamentarian and pro-Brexit political economist. Lady Lea entered HM Civil Service, before being recruited by the Institute of Directors, a private-sector employer l ...
wrote up the Commission's findings. He has testified to United States Congress and Senate about the rise of State Capitalism and Sovereign Wealth Funds. He was the Lead Advisor on Prime Minister
Gordon Brown James Gordon Brown (born 20 February 1951) is a British former politician who served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and Leader of the Labour Party from 2007 to 2010. He previously served as Chancellor of the Exchequer in Tony B ...
's first Business Council for Britain, 2007–08. He sat on Councils of the World Economic Forum between 2009 and 2014. On 11 December 2012, the
Mayor of London The mayor of London is the chief executive of the Greater London Authority. The role was created in 2000 after the Greater London devolution referendum in 1998, and was the first directly elected mayor in the United Kingdom. The current m ...
,
Boris Johnson Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson (; born 19 June 1964) is a British politician, writer and journalist who served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and Leader of the Conservative Party from 2019 to 2022. He previously served as F ...
, announced that Lyons was to join his team as his Chief Economic Adviser. During his first term, Lyons had been a member of Johnson's informal panel of economic and business advisers, speaking at a number of events at City Hall on London's global position during the term of the previous Mayor, Ken Livingstone. He began the role a month later in January 2013 and left in April 2016, at the conclusion of the Mayor's term. While at City Hall Lyons championed the London living wage, co-chaired, with
Munira Mirza Munira Mirza (born May 1978) is a British political advisor who served as Director of the Number 10 Policy Unit under Prime Minister Boris Johnson from 2019 until she resigned on 3 February 2022, citing Johnson's claim that Labour leader Keir Sta ...
, the London Strategic Migration Partnership Panel, represented the Mayor on the Board of City UK and sat as a member of the GLA's Investment Performance Board and gave testimony to the Commission's second report, in 2016. Because of his connection with Johnson and knowledge of emerging economies, he was considered for the 2019 appointment of
Governor of the Bank of England The governor of the Bank of England is the most senior position in the Bank of England. It is nominally a civil service post, but the appointment tends to be from within the bank, with the incumbent grooming their successor. The governor of the Ba ...
.


Books

*''The Consolations of Economics'' *''Clean Brexit: How to Make a Success of Leaving the European Union'' (co-authored with the journalist Liam Halligan).


EU Referendum

Previously a vocal opponent of the UK joining the Exchange Rate Mechanism and Euro currency, Lyons is an advocate of "Clean Brexit", and co-founded Economists for Brexit to provide the economic case for leaving. He publicly criticised the use of the £350 million figure on the side of the Vote Leave bus, and suggested that a net figure of £163 million a week should have been used. In April 2016, Lyons suggested that food would be suddenly cheaper after Brexit.


References


External links


Standard Chartered: Global Research Briefing Jakarta Jan 2012
* {{DEFAULTSORT:Lyons, Gerard 1961 births Living people 20th-century British economists Alumni of the University of Liverpool Alumni of the University of Warwick Alumni of Queen Mary University of London New Keynesian economists Chatham House people 21st-century British economists British male writers 21st-century British non-fiction writers