Economic Experiment
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Experimental economics is the application of experimental methods to study economic questions.
Data In the pursuit of knowledge, data (; ) is a collection of discrete values that convey information, describing quantity, quality, fact, statistics, other basic units of meaning, or simply sequences of symbols that may be further interpreted ...
collected in experiments are used to estimate effect size, test the validity of economic theories, and illuminate market mechanisms. Economic experiments usually use cash to motivate subjects, in order to mimic real-world incentives. Experiments are used to help understand how and why markets and other exchange systems function as they do. Experimental economics have also expanded to understand institutions and the law (experimental law and economics). A fundamental aspect of the subject is
design of experiments The design of experiments (DOE, DOX, or experimental design) is the design of any task that aims to describe and explain the variation of information under conditions that are hypothesized to reflect the variation. The term is generally associ ...
. Experiments may be conducted in the
field Field may refer to: Expanses of open ground * Field (agriculture), an area of land used for agricultural purposes * Airfield, an aerodrome that lacks the infrastructure of an airport * Battlefield * Lawn, an area of mowed grass * Meadow, a grass ...
or in laboratory settings, whether of
individual An individual is that which exists as a distinct entity. Individuality (or self-hood) is the state or quality of being an individual; particularly (in the case of humans) of being a person unique from other people and possessing one's own Maslow ...
or group
behavior Behavior (American English) or behaviour (British English) is the range of actions and mannerisms made by individuals, organisms, systems or artificial entities in some environment. These systems can include other systems or organisms as wel ...
. Variants of the subject outside such formal confines include
natural Nature, in the broadest sense, is the physical world or universe. "Nature" can refer to the phenomena of the physical world, and also to life in general. The study of nature is a large, if not the only, part of science. Although humans are p ...
and
quasi-natural experiment A quasi-experiment is an empirical interventional study used to estimate the causal impact of an intervention on target population without random assignment. Quasi-experimental research shares similarities with the traditional experimental desig ...
s.


Experimental topics

One can loosely classify economic experiments using the following topics: *
Market Market is a term used to describe concepts such as: * Market (economics), system in which parties engage in transactions according to supply and demand * Market economy *Marketplace, a physical marketplace or public market Geography *Märket, a ...
s *
Games A game is a structured form of play, usually undertaken for entertainment or fun, and sometimes used as an educational tool. Many games are also considered to be work (such as professional players of spectator sports or games) or art (such ...
* Evolutionary game theory *
Decision making In psychology, decision-making (also spelled decision making and decisionmaking) is regarded as the cognitive process resulting in the selection of a belief or a course of action among several possible alternative options. It could be either rati ...
*
Bargaining In the social sciences, bargaining or haggling is a type of negotiation in which the buyer and seller of a good or service debate the price or nature of a transaction. If the bargaining produces agreement on terms, the transaction takes plac ...
* Contracts * Auctions * Coordination * Social Preferences * Learning * Matching * Field Experiments Within economics education, one application involves experiments used in the teaching of economics. An alternative approach with experimental dimensions is agent-based computational modeling. It is important to consider the potential and constraints of games for understanding rational behavior and solving human conflict.


Coordination games

Coordination games are
games A game is a structured form of play, usually undertaken for entertainment or fun, and sometimes used as an educational tool. Many games are also considered to be work (such as professional players of spectator sports or games) or art (such ...
with multiple
pure strategy In game theory, a player's strategy is any of the options which they choose in a setting where the outcome depends ''not only'' on their own actions ''but'' on the actions of others. The discipline mainly concerns the action of a player in a game ...
Nash equilibria. There are two general sets of questions that experimental economists typically ask when examining such games: (1) Can laboratory subjects coordinate, or learn to coordinate, on one of multiple equilibria, and if so are there general principles that can help predict which equilibrium is likely to be chosen? (2) Can laboratory subjects coordinate, or learn to coordinate, on the Pareto best equilibrium and if not, are there conditions or mechanisms which would help subjects coordinate on the Pareto best equilibrium? Deductive selection principles are those that allow predictions based on the properties of the game alone. Inductive selection principles are those that allow predictions based on characterizations of dynamics. Under some conditions at least groups of experimental subjects can coordinate even complex non-obvious asymmetric Pareto-best equilibria. This is even though all subjects decide simultaneously and independently without communication. The way by which this happens is not yet fully understood.


Learning experiments

Economic theories often assume that economic incentives can shape behavior even when individual agents have limited understanding of the environment. The relationship between economic incentives and outcomes may be indirect: The economic incentives determine the agents’ experience, and these experiences may then drive future actions. Learning experiments can be classified as individual choice tasks or games, where games typically refer to strategic interactions of two or more players. Oftentimes, the general patterns of learning behavior can be best illustrated with individual choice tasks. In
games A game is a structured form of play, usually undertaken for entertainment or fun, and sometimes used as an educational tool. Many games are also considered to be work (such as professional players of spectator sports or games) or art (such ...
of two players or more, the subjects often form beliefs about what actions the other subjects are taking and these beliefs are updated over time. This is known as belief learning. Subjects also tend to make the same decisions that have rewarded them with high payoffs in the past. This is known as reinforcement learning. Until the 1990s, simple adaptive models, such as
Cournot competition Cournot competition is an economic model used to describe an industry structure in which companies compete on the amount of output they will produce, which they decide on independently of each other and at the same time. It is named after Antoine Au ...
or fictitious play, were generally used. In the mid-1990s,
Alvin E. Roth Alvin Eliot Roth (born December 18, 1951) is an American academic. He is the Craig and Susan McCaw professor of economics at Stanford University and the George Gund (philanthropist), Gund professor of economics and business administration emeritu ...
and
Ido Erev Ido Erev is an Israeli psychologist. Erev is the Women’s Division—ATS Academic Chair, Vice Dean for the MBA programs and heads the Technion section of the Max Wertheimer Minerva Center for Cognitive Research, and head of the Technion's ICO ...
demonstrated that reinforcement learning can make useful predictions in experimental games. In 1999,
Colin Camerer Colin Farrell Camerer (born December 4, 1959) is an American behavioral economist, and Robert Kirby Professor of Behavioral Finance and Economics at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech). Background A former child prodigy, Camerer rec ...
and Teck-Hua Ho introduced Experience Weighted Attraction (EWA), a general model that incorporated reinforcement and belief learning, and shows that fictitious play is mathematically equivalent to generalized reinforcement, provided weights are placed on past history. Criticisms of EWA include
overfitting mathematical modeling, overfitting is "the production of an analysis that corresponds too closely or exactly to a particular set of data, and may therefore fail to fit to additional data or predict future observations reliably". An overfitt ...
due to many parameters, lack of generality over games, and the possibility that the interpretation of EWA parameters may be difficult. Overfitting is addressed by estimating parameters on some of the experimental periods or experimental subjects and forecasting behavior in the remaining sample (if models are overfitting, these out-of-sample validation forecasts will be much less accurate than in-sample fits, which they generally are not). Generality in games is addressed by replacing fixed parameters with "self-tuning" functions of experience, allowing pseudo-parameters to change over the course of a game and to also vary systematically across games. Modern experimental economists have done much notable work recently. Roberto Weber has raised issues of learning without feedback. David Cooper and John Kagel have investigated types of learning over similar strategies.
Ido Erev Ido Erev is an Israeli psychologist. Erev is the Women’s Division—ATS Academic Chair, Vice Dean for the MBA programs and heads the Technion section of the Max Wertheimer Minerva Center for Cognitive Research, and head of the Technion's ICO ...
and Greg Barron have looked at learning in cognitive strategies. Dale Stahl has characterized learning over decision making rules.
Charles A. Holt Charles A. Holt (born October 2, 1948) is a behavioral economist, the A. Willis Robertson Professor of Political Economy at the University of Virginia. He also teaches public policy at the Frank Batten School of Leadership and Public Policy The ...
has studied logit learning in different kinds of games, including games with multiple equilibria. Wilfred Amaldoss has looked at interesting applications of EWA in marketing. Amnon Rapoport,
Jim Parco James Edward Parco (born October 22, 1968) is a retired United States Air Force lieutenant colonel, professor, entrepreneur and corporate executive. While in the military, he emerged as a leading voice in the religious intolerance crisis, at the U ...
and Ryan Murphy have investigated reinforcement-based adaptive learning models in one of the most celebrated paradoxes in game theory known as the
centipede game In game theory, the centipede game, first introduced by Robert Rosenthal in 1981, is an extensive form game in which two players take turns choosing either to take a slightly larger share of an increasing pot, or to pass the pot to the other playe ...
.


Market games

Edward Chamberlin is thought to have conducted "not only the first market experiment, but also the first economic experiment of any kind." Vernon Smith, drawing on Chamberlin's work, but also modifying it in key respects, conducted pioneering economics experiments on the convergence of prices and quantities to their theoretical competitive equilibrium values in experimental markets. Smith studied the behavior of "buyers" and "sellers", who are told how much they "value" a fictitious commodity and then are asked to competitively "bid" or "ask" on these commodities following the rules of various real world market institutions (e.g., the
Double auction A double auction is a process of buying and selling goods with multiple sellers and multiple buyers. Potential buyers submit their bids and potential sellers submit their ask prices to the market institution, and then the market institution choose ...
as well the English and Dutch
auction An auction is usually a process of buying and selling goods or services by offering them up for bids, taking bids, and then selling the item to the highest bidder or buying the item from the lowest bidder. Some exceptions to this definition ex ...
s). Smith found that in some forms of centralized trading, prices and quantities traded in such markets converge on the values that would be predicted by the economic theory of
perfect competition In economics, specifically general equilibrium theory, a perfect market, also known as an atomistic market, is defined by several idealizing conditions, collectively called perfect competition, or atomistic competition. In Economic model, theoret ...
, despite the conditions not meeting many of the assumptions of perfect competition (large numbers, perfect information). Over the years, Smith pioneered – along with other collaborators – the use of controlled laboratory experiments in economics, and established it as a legitimate tool in economics and other related fields.
Charles Plott Charles Raymond Plott (born July 8, 1938) is an American economist. He currently is Edward S. Harkness Professor of Economics and Political Science at the California Institute of Technology, Director, Laboratory for Experimental Economics and Polit ...
of the California Institute of Technology collaborated with Smith in the 1970s and pioneered experiments in political science, as well as using experiments to inform economic design or engineering to inform policies. In 2002, Smith was awarded (jointly with
Daniel Kahneman Daniel Kahneman (; he, דניאל כהנמן; born March 5, 1934) is an Israeli-American psychologist and economist notable for his work on the psychology of judgment and decision-making, as well as behavioral economics, for which he was award ...
) the Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences "for having established laboratory experiments as a tool in empirical economic analysis, especially in the study of alternative market mechanisms".


Finance

Experimental finance The goals of experimental finance are to understand human and market behavior in settings relevant to finance. Experiments are synthetic economic environments created by researchers specifically to answer research questions. This might involve, for ...
studies
financial markets A financial market is a market in which people trade financial securities and derivatives at low transaction costs. Some of the securities include stocks and bonds, raw materials and precious metals, which are known in the financial markets ...
with the goals of establishing different market settings and environments to observe experimentally and analyze agents' behavior and the resulting characteristics of trading flows, information diffusion and aggregation, price setting mechanism and returns processes. Presently, researchers use simulation software to conduct their research. For instance, experiments have manipulated
information asymmetry In contract theory and economics, information asymmetry deals with the study of decisions in transactions where one party has more or better information than the other. Information asymmetry creates an imbalance of power in transactions, which ca ...
about the
holding value In the field of financial economics, Holding value is an indicator of a theoretical value of an asset that someone has in their portfolio. It is a value which sums the impacts of all the dividends that would be given to the holder in the future, to ...
of a bond or a share on the pricing for those who don't have enough information, in order to study
stock market bubble A stock market bubble is a type of economic bubble taking place in stock markets when market participants drive stock prices above their value in relation to some system of stock valuation. Behavioral finance theory attributes stock market bub ...
s.


Social preferences

The term "social preferences" refers to the concern (or lack thereof) that people have for each other's well-being, and it encompasses altruism, spitefulness, tastes for equality, and tastes for reciprocity. Experiments on social preferences generally study economic games including the
dictator game The dictator game is a popular experimental instrument in social psychology and economics, a derivative of the ultimatum game. The term "game" is a misnomer because it captures a decision by a single player: to send money to another or not. Thus, t ...
, the ultimatum game, the
trust game The dictator game is a popular experimental instrument in social psychology and economics, a derivative of the ultimatum game. The term "game" is a misnomer because it captures a decision by a single player: to send money to another or not. Thus, t ...
, the gift-exchange game, the public goods game, and modifications to these canonical settings. As one example of results, ultimatum game experiments have shown that people are generally willing to sacrifice monetary rewards when offered low allocations, thus behaving inconsistently with simple models of self-interest. Economic experiments have measured how this deviation varies across cultures.


Contracts

Contract theory From a legal point of view, a contract is an institutional arrangement for the way in which resources flow, which defines the various relationships between the parties to a transaction or limits the rights and obligations of the parties. From an ...
is concerned with providing incentives in situations in which some variables cannot be observed by all parties. Hence, contract theory is difficult to test in the field: If the researcher could verify the relevant variables, then the contractual parties could contract on these variables, hence any interesting contract-theoretic problem would disappear. Yet, in laboratory experiments it is possible to directly test contract-theoretic models. For instance, researchers have experimentally studied moral hazard theory, adverse selection theory, exclusive contracting, deferred compensation, the hold-up problem, flexible versus rigid contracts, and models with endogenous information structures.


Agent-based computational modeling

Agent-based computational modeling is a relatively recent method in economics with experimental dimensions.Scott E. Page, 2008. "agent-based models," ''
The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics ''The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics'' (2018), 3rd ed., is a twenty-volume reference work on economics published by Palgrave Macmillan. It contains around 3,000 entries, including many classic essays from the original Inglis Palgrave Diction ...
'', 2nd Edition
Abstract.
/ref> Here the focus is on economic processes, including whole economies, as dynamic systems of interacting agents, an application of the complex adaptive systems
paradigm In science and philosophy, a paradigm () is a distinct set of concepts or thought patterns, including theories, research methods, postulates, and standards for what constitute legitimate contributions to a field. Etymology ''Paradigm'' comes f ...
. The "agent" refers to "computational objects modeled as interacting according to rules," not real people. Agents can represent social and/or physical entities. Starting from initial conditions determined by the modeler, an ACE model develops forward through time driven solely by agent interactions. Issues include those common to experimental economics in general and by comparison as well as development of a common framework for empirical validation and resolving open questions in agent-based modeling.


Methodology


Guidelines

Experimental economists generally adhere to the following methodological guidelines: * Incentivize subjects with real monetary payoffs. * Publish full experimental instructions. * Do not use deception. * Avoid introducing specific, concrete context.


Critiques

The above guidelines have developed in large part to address two central critiques. Specifically, economics experiments are often challenged because of concerns about their "internal validity" and "external validity", for example, that they are not applicable models for many types of economic behavior, so the experiments simply aren't good enough to produce useful answers. However, none of the critiques towards this methodology are specific to it, as they are immediately applicable to either theoretical or empirical approaches or both.


Software tools

The most famous software for conducting experimental economics research is z-Tree, which is developed by
Urs Fischbacher Urs Fischbacher (born 17 September 1959 in Dietikon, Zürich) is a Swiss economist and professor of applied economic research at the University of Konstanz. He is director of the Thurgau Economic Institute, an affiliated institute of the University ...
from 1998 on. It had about 9460 citation results counted on
Google Scholar Google Scholar is a freely accessible web search engine that indexes the full text or metadata of scholarly literature across an array of publishing formats and disciplines. Released in beta in November 2004, the Google Scholar index includes p ...
in February 2020. It transcripts as ''Zurich Toolbox for Readymade Economic Experiments'' and was one of the reasons for the Joachim Herz Research prize for "Best research work" awarded to Fischbacher in Dezember 2016. z-Tree is a software, which runs on a network of computers in a research lab. One of the computers is used by experimenters and the other computers are used by the subjects of experiment. The setup of an experiment is variable and can be defined in the
imperative language In computer science, imperative programming is a programming paradigm of software that uses statements that change a program's state. In much the same way that the imperative mood in natural languages expresses commands, an imperative program c ...
z-Tree programming language. This language allows the experimenter to set up a variety of experiments and additional surveys. Alternatively, there is a big number of competing alternative software. Following table presents a growing list of software tools for experimental economics:


See also

*
Agent-based computational economics Agent-based computational economics (ACE) is the area of computational economics that studies economic processes, including whole economies, as dynamic systems of interacting agents. As such, it falls in the paradigm of complex adaptive systems. I ...
*
Behavioral economics Behavioral economics studies the effects of psychological, cognitive, emotional, cultural and social factors on the decisions of individuals or institutions, such as how those decisions vary from those implied by classical economic theory. ...
*
Behavioral game theory Behavioral game theory seeks to examine how people's strategic decision-making behavior is shaped by social preferences, social utility and other psychological factors. Behavioral game theory analyzes interactive strategic decisions and behavior us ...
* Behavioral finance * Behavioral Operations Research *
Experimental finance The goals of experimental finance are to understand human and market behavior in settings relevant to finance. Experiments are synthetic economic environments created by researchers specifically to answer research questions. This might involve, for ...
*
Experimental techniques The design of experiments (DOE, DOX, or experimental design) is the design of any task that aims to describe and explain the variation of information under conditions that are hypothesized to reflect the variation. The term is generally associ ...
*
Fair division experiments Various experiments have been made to evaluate various procedures for fair division, the problem of dividing resources among several people. These include case studies, computerized simulations, and lab experiments. Case studies Allocating ind ...
* Important publications in experimental economics *
Quantitative behavioral finance Quantitative behavioral finance is a new discipline that uses mathematical and statistical methodology to understand behavioral biases in conjunction with valuation. The research can be grouped into the following areas: # Empirical studies that d ...
*
Reinhard Selten Reinhard Justus Reginald Selten (; 5 October 1930 – 23 August 2016) was a German economist, who won the 1994 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences (shared with John Harsanyi and John Nash). He is also well known for his work in bound ...
, one of the central figures in the foundation of experimental economics *
Urs Fischbacher Urs Fischbacher (born 17 September 1959 in Dietikon, Zürich) is a Swiss economist and professor of applied economic research at the University of Konstanz. He is director of the Thurgau Economic Institute, an affiliated institute of the University ...
, one of the central figures in
behavioral economics Behavioral economics studies the effects of psychological, cognitive, emotional, cultural and social factors on the decisions of individuals or institutions, such as how those decisions vary from those implied by classical economic theory. ...
and developer of the first software tool for experimental economics * Replication crisis#In economics


Notes


References

* Battalio, Raymond C., ''et al.'', 1973. "A Test of Consumer Demand Theory Using Observations of Individual Consumer Purchases," ''Economic Inquiry'', 11(4), pp
411
428 * Bayer, R. C., & Renou, L. (2011)
Cognitive abilities and behavior in strategic-form games
Discussion Papers in Economics 11/16, Department of Economics, University of Leicester * Camerer, Colin, George Loewenstein, and
Drazen Prelec Drazen Prelec (born 1955 in Yugoslavia) is a professor of management science and economics in the MIT Sloan School of Management, and holds appointments in the Department of Economics and in the Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences at MIT as ...
, 2005. "Neuroeconomics: How Neuroscience Can Inform Economics," ''Journal of Economic Literature'', 43(1), pp
9–64
* Chamberlin, Edward H., 1948. "An Experimental Imperfect Market," ''Journal of Political Economy'', 56(2), pp
95
108 * * Davis, Douglas D., and Charles A. Holt, 1993. ''Experimental Economics'', Princeton
preview
an
ch. 1
(complete) * Falk, Armin and
Simon Gächter Simon Gächter (born 8 March 1965 in Nenzing, Vorarlberg) is an Austrian economist. He currently is professor of the psychology of economic decision making at the University of Nottingham. Gächter attended the University of Vienna, where he rec ...
, 2008. "experimental labour economics," ''The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics'', 2nd Edition
Abstract
an
galley proof
* Friedman, Daniel, and Shyam Sunder, 1994. ''Experimental Methods: A Primer for Economists'', Cambridge University Press. Description/content
links
and scrollabl
preview
* Grether, David M., and Charles R. Plott, 1979. "Economic Theory of Choice and the Preference Reversal Phenomenon," ''American Economic Review'', 69(4 ), pp
623–638
* Guala, Francesco, 2005. ''The Methodology of Experimental Economics'', Cambridge. Description/content
links
and ch.
excerpt
* Gunnthorsdottir Anna, Vragov Roumen, Seifert Stefan and Kevin McCabe, 2010. "Near-efficient equilibria in contribution-based competitive grouping," Journal of Public Economics, 94, pp. 987–99

* Hertwig, Ralph, and Andreas Ortmann, 2001. "Experimental Practices in Economics : A Methodological Challenge for Psychologists?" ''Behavioral and Brain Sciences'', 24(3), pp
383–403
* Holt, Charles A., and Susan K. Laury, 2002. "Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects," ''American Economic Review'', 92(5) pp
1644–1655
* Kagel, John H. ''et al.'', 1975. "Experimental Studies of Consumer Demand Behavior Using Laboratory Animals," ''Economic Inquiry'', 13(1), pp. 22–38
Abstract
* Kagel, John H., and Alvin E. Roth, ed., 1995. ''The Handbook of Experimental Economics'', Princeton University Press

an

* Daniel Kahneman, Kahneman Daniel, Jack L. Knetsch, and Richard Thaler, 1986. "Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking: Entitlements in the Market," ''American Economic Review,'' 76(4), pp
728–741
* Plott, Charles R., 1982. "Industrial Organization Theory and Experimental Economics," ''Journal of Economic Literature'', 20(4), pp
1485
1527. Reprinted in Plott, 2001, ''Market Institutions and Price Discovery'', pp
18–59
Elgar.
Description
* _____ and Susan K. Laury, 2002. "Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects," ''American Economic Review'', 92(5) pp
1644–1655
* Plott, Charles R., and Vernon L. Smith, 2008. ''Handbook of Experimental Economics Results'', v. 1, Elsevier
Description
and chapter-lin
previews
* Roth, Alvin E., and Michael W Malouf, 1979. "Game-theoretic Models and the Role of Information in Bargaining," ''Psychological Review'', 86(6), pp
574–594
* Smith, Vernon L., 1962. "An Experimental Study of Competitive Market Behavior," ''
Journal of Political Economy The ''Journal of Political Economy'' is a monthly peer-reviewed academic journal published by the University of Chicago Press. Established by James Laurence Laughlin in 1892, it covers both theoretical and empirical economics. In the past, the ...
'', 70(2), pp
111
137 * ____, 1982. "Microeconomic Systems as an Experimental Science," ''American Economic Review'', 72(5), pp
923–955
* _____, 1991. ''Papers in Experimental Economics''
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* _____,
987 Year 987 ( CMLXXXVII) was a common year starting on Saturday (link will display the full calendar) of the Julian calendar. Events By place Byzantine Empire * February 7 – Bardas Phokas (the Younger) and Bardas Skleros, two membe ...
2008. "Experimental Methods in Economics," ''The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics'', 2nd Edition
Abstract
* {{Authority control Mathematical and quantitative methods (economics) Social science experiments