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machine learning Machine learning (ML) is a field of inquiry devoted to understanding and building methods that 'learn', that is, methods that leverage data to improve performance on some set of tasks. It is seen as a part of artificial intelligence. Machine ...
, early stopping is a form of
regularization Regularization may refer to: * Regularization (linguistics) * Regularization (mathematics) * Regularization (physics) In physics, especially quantum field theory, regularization is a method of modifying observables which have singularities in ...
used to avoid
overfitting mathematical modeling, overfitting is "the production of an analysis that corresponds too closely or exactly to a particular set of data, and may therefore fail to fit to additional data or predict future observations reliably". An overfitt ...
when training a learner with an iterative method, such as
gradient descent In mathematics, gradient descent (also often called steepest descent) is a first-order iterative optimization algorithm for finding a local minimum of a differentiable function. The idea is to take repeated steps in the opposite direction of the ...
. Such methods update the learner so as to make it better fit the training data with each iteration. Up to a point, this improves the learner's performance on data outside of the training set. Past that point, however, improving the learner's fit to the training data comes at the expense of increased
generalization error For supervised learning applications in machine learning and statistical learning theory, generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error or the risk) is a measure of how accurately an algorithm is able to predict outcome values for pre ...
. Early stopping rules provide guidance as to how many iterations can be run before the learner begins to over-fit. Early stopping rules have been employed in many different machine learning methods, with varying amounts of theoretical foundation.


Background

This section presents some of the basic machine-learning concepts required for a description of early stopping methods.


Overfitting

Machine learning Machine learning (ML) is a field of inquiry devoted to understanding and building methods that 'learn', that is, methods that leverage data to improve performance on some set of tasks. It is seen as a part of artificial intelligence. Machine ...
algorithms train a model based on a finite set of training data. During this training, the model is evaluated based on how well it predicts the observations contained in the training set. In general, however, the goal of a machine learning scheme is to produce a model that generalizes, that is, that predicts previously unseen observations. Overfitting occurs when a model fits the data in the training set well, while incurring larger
generalization error For supervised learning applications in machine learning and statistical learning theory, generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error or the risk) is a measure of how accurately an algorithm is able to predict outcome values for pre ...
.


Regularization

Regularization, in the context of machine learning, refers to the process of modifying a learning algorithm so as to prevent overfitting. This generally involves imposing some sort of smoothness constraint on the learned model. This smoothness may be enforced explicitly, by fixing the number of parameters in the model, or by augmenting the cost function as in
Tikhonov regularization Ridge regression is a method of estimating the coefficients of multiple-regression models in scenarios where the independent variables are highly correlated. It has been used in many fields including econometrics, chemistry, and engineering. Also ...
. Tikhonov regularization, along with
principal component regression In statistics, principal component regression (PCR) is a regression analysis technique that is based on principal component analysis (PCA). More specifically, PCR is used for estimating the unknown regression coefficients in a standard linear regr ...
and many other regularization schemes, fall under the umbrella of spectral regularization, regularization characterized by the application of a filter. Early stopping also belongs to this class of methods.


Gradient descent methods

Gradient descent methods are first-order, iterative, optimization methods. Each iteration updates an approximate solution to the optimization problem by taking a step in the direction of the negative of the gradient of the objective function. By choosing the step-size appropriately, such a method can be made to converge to a local minimum of the objective function. Gradient descent is used in machine-learning by defining a ''
loss function In mathematical optimization and decision theory, a loss function or cost function (sometimes also called an error function) is a function that maps an event or values of one or more variables onto a real number intuitively representing some "cost ...
'' that reflects the error of the learner on the training set and then minimizing that function.


Early stopping based on analytical results


Early stopping in

statistical learning theory Statistical learning theory is a framework for machine learning drawing from the fields of statistics and functional analysis. Statistical learning theory deals with the statistical inference problem of finding a predictive function based on dat ...

Early-stopping can be used to regularize
non-parametric regression Nonparametric regression is a category of regression analysis in which the predictor does not take a predetermined form but is constructed according to information derived from the data. That is, no parametric form is assumed for the relationship ...
problems encountered in
machine learning Machine learning (ML) is a field of inquiry devoted to understanding and building methods that 'learn', that is, methods that leverage data to improve performance on some set of tasks. It is seen as a part of artificial intelligence. Machine ...
. For a given input space, X, output space, Y, and samples drawn from an unknown probability measure, \rho, on Z = X \times Y, the goal of such problems is to approximate a ''regression function'', f_, given by : f_\rho(x) = \int_Y y \, d\rho(y\mid x),\, x \in X, where \rho(y\mid x) is the conditional distribution at x induced by \rho. One common choice for approximating the regression function is to use functions from a
reproducing kernel Hilbert space In functional analysis (a branch of mathematics), a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) is a Hilbert space of functions in which point evaluation is a continuous linear functional. Roughly speaking, this means that if two functions f and g in ...
. These spaces can be infinite dimensional, in which they can supply solutions that overfit training sets of arbitrary size. Regularization is, therefore, especially important for these methods. One way to regularize non-parametric regression problems is to apply an early stopping rule to an iterative procedure such as gradient descent. The early stopping rules proposed for these problems are based on analysis of upper bounds on the generalization error as a function of the iteration number. They yield prescriptions for the number of iterations to run that can be computed prior to starting the solution process.


Example: Least-squares loss

(Adapted from Yao, Rosasco and Caponnetto, 2007) Let X\subseteq\mathbb^n and Y=\mathbb. Given a set of samples :\mathbf = \left \ \in Z^m, drawn independently from \rho, minimize the functional : \mathcal(f) = \int_ (f(x) - y)^2 \, d\rho where, f is a member of the reproducing kernel Hilbert space \mathcal. That is, minimize the expected risk for a Least-squares loss function. Since \mathcal depends on the unknown probability measure \rho, it cannot be used for computation. Instead, consider the following empirical risk : \mathcal_(f) = \frac \sum_^m \left(f(x_i) - y_\right)^2. Let f_ and f_t^ be the ''t''-th iterates of gradient descent applied to the expected and empirical risks, respectively, where both iterations are initialized at the origin, and both use the step size \gamma_. The f_ form the ''population iteration'', which converges to f_, but cannot be used in computation, while the f_t^ form the ''sample iteration'' which usually converges to an overfitting solution. We want to control the difference between the expected risk of the sample iteration and the minimum expected risk, that is, the expected risk of the regression function: :\mathcal(f_t^) - \mathcal(f_\rho) This difference can be rewritten as the sum of two terms: the difference in expected risk between the sample and population iterations and that between the population iteration and the regression function: :\mathcal(f_t^) - \mathcal(f_\rho) = \left \mathcal(f_t^) - \mathcal(f_t)\right+ \left \mathcal(f_t) - \mathcal(f_\rho)\right/math> This equation presents a bias-variance tradeoff, which is then solved to give an optimal stopping rule that may depend on the unknown probability distribution. That rule has associated probabilistic bounds on the generalization error. For the analysis leading to the early stopping rule and bounds, the reader is referred to the original article. In practice, data-driven methods, e.g. cross-validation can be used to obtain an adaptive stopping rule.


Early stopping in boosting

Boosting refers to a family of algorithms in which a set of weak learners (learners that are only slightly correlated with the true process) are combined to produce a strong learner. It has been shown, for several boosting algorithms (including
AdaBoost AdaBoost, short for ''Adaptive Boosting'', is a statistical classification meta-algorithm formulated by Yoav Freund and Robert Schapire in 1995, who won the 2003 Gödel Prize for their work. It can be used in conjunction with many other types of ...
), that regularization via early stopping can provide guarantees of
consistency In classical deductive logic, a consistent theory is one that does not lead to a logical contradiction. The lack of contradiction can be defined in either semantic or syntactic terms. The semantic definition states that a theory is consistent ...
, that is, that the result of the algorithm approaches the true solution as the number of samples goes to infinity.


L-boosting

Boosting methods have close ties to the gradient descent methods described above can be regarded as a boosting method based on the L_ loss: ''LBoost''.


Validation-based early stopping

These early stopping rules work by splitting the original training set into a new training set and a
validation set In machine learning, a common task is the study and construction of algorithms that can learn from and make predictions on data. Such algorithms function by making data-driven predictions or decisions, through building a mathematical model from ...
. The error on the validation set is used as a proxy for the
generalization error For supervised learning applications in machine learning and statistical learning theory, generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error or the risk) is a measure of how accurately an algorithm is able to predict outcome values for pre ...
in determining when overfitting has begun. These methods are most commonly employed in the training of
neural networks A neural network is a network or circuit of biological neurons, or, in a modern sense, an artificial neural network, composed of artificial neurons or nodes. Thus, a neural network is either a biological neural network, made up of biological ...
. Prechelt gives the following summary of a naive implementation of holdout-based early stopping as follows: More sophisticated forms use cross-validation – multiple partitions of the data into training set and validation set – instead of a single partition into a training set and validation set. Even this simple procedure is complicated in practice by the fact that the validation error may fluctuate during training, producing multiple local minima. This complication has led to the creation of many ad hoc rules for deciding when overfitting has truly begun.


See also

*
Overfitting mathematical modeling, overfitting is "the production of an analysis that corresponds too closely or exactly to a particular set of data, and may therefore fail to fit to additional data or predict future observations reliably". An overfitt ...
, early stopping is one of methods used to prevent overfitting *
Generalization error For supervised learning applications in machine learning and statistical learning theory, generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error or the risk) is a measure of how accurately an algorithm is able to predict outcome values for pre ...
*
Regularization (mathematics) In mathematics, statistics, finance, computer science, particularly in machine learning and inverse problems, regularization is a process that changes the result answer to be "simpler". It is often used to obtain results for ill-posed problems o ...
*
Statistical learning theory Statistical learning theory is a framework for machine learning drawing from the fields of statistics and functional analysis. Statistical learning theory deals with the statistical inference problem of finding a predictive function based on dat ...
*
Boosting (machine learning) In machine learning, boosting is an ensemble meta-algorithm for primarily reducing bias, and also variance in supervised learning, and a family of machine learning algorithms that convert weak learners to strong ones. Boosting is based on the que ...
* Cross-validation, in particular using a "validation set" *
Neural networks A neural network is a network or circuit of biological neurons, or, in a modern sense, an artificial neural network, composed of artificial neurons or nodes. Thus, a neural network is either a biological neural network, made up of biological ...


References

{{Reflist Artificial neural networks