Barry Arm Landslide
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The Barry Arm landslide is an ongoing
landslide Landslides, also known as landslips, are several forms of mass wasting that may include a wide range of ground movements, such as rockfalls, deep-seated grade (slope), slope failures, mudflows, and debris flows. Landslides occur in a variety of ...
in the Barry Arm
fjord In physical geography, a fjord or fiord () is a long, narrow inlet with steep sides or cliffs, created by a glacier. Fjords exist on the coasts of Alaska, Antarctica, British Columbia, Chile, Denmark, Germany, Greenland, the Faroe Islands, Ice ...
, northeast of
Whittier, Alaska Whittier is a city at the head of the Passage Canal in the U.S. state of Alaska, about southeast of Anchorage, Alaska, Anchorage. The city is within the Chugach Census Area, Alaska, Chugach Census Area, one of the two entities established in 201 ...
. The landslide is currently sliding into the waters of the fjord. Recently discovered in 2020, scientists fear that the slope may trigger a large
tsunami A tsunami ( ; from ja, 津波, lit=harbour wave, ) is a series of waves in a water body caused by the displacement of a large volume of water, generally in an ocean or a large lake. Earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and other underwater explo ...
when it falls into the fjord.


Description

The Barry Arm landslide measures about . It existed as far back as in the 1920s based on photographic evidence. From May 2010 to September 2013, during the retreat of Barry Glacier, the landslide moved at per year. The rate decreased to per year in March 2017 when the recession stopped. Satellite data and imagery indicate the large part of the landslide directly above the fjord waters began sliding on August 23, 2022. The slide is currently moving at a rate of each day. However, the volume of the landslide remains undetermined because the depth is uncertain. Similar movement were recorded since 2008 and 2020. However, the recent movement is at least twice as fast and occurring over a greater area. The landslide consists of four parts (north to south: Tail, Core, Prow, Kite). In September 2022, movement was detected in large parts of "Core" and "Prow" as well as the entire "Kite" section.


Tsunami hazard

The persistent movement of the landslide at a constant or increased rate would raise the likelihood for
failure Failure is the state or condition of not meeting a desirable or intended objective (goal), objective, and may be viewed as the opposite of Success (concept), success. The criteria for failure depends on context, and may be relative to a parti ...
. In a
worst-case scenario A worst-case scenario is a concept in risk management wherein the planner, in planning for potential disasters, considers the most severe possible outcome that can reasonably be projected to occur in a given situation. Conceiving of worst-case s ...
, rapid ground failure could result in a deadly tsunami in large water bodies including Harriman Fiord, Barry Arm, College Fiord, Port Wells, Cochrane Bay, Blackstone Bay, and Passage Canal. A tsunami measuring may strike the town of Whittier, southwest of the landslide. Scientists said that the tsunami could be fatal to people in the vicinity of the landslide. According to an interdisciplinary team of researchers in 2020, if the landslide were to fail all at once, a peak run-up of would occur. Meanwhile run-ups of would be widely observed around the immediate area. The tsunami would propagate at per second across the
Prince William Sound Prince William Sound (Sugpiaq: ''Suungaaciq'') is a sound of the Gulf of Alaska on the south coast of the U.S. state of Alaska. It is located on the east side of the Kenai Peninsula. Its largest port is Valdez, at the southern terminus of the Tr ...
, posing a threat to small kayaks and large
cruise A cruise is any travel on a cruise ship. Cruise or Cruises may also refer to: Tourism * Booze cruise * Music cruise * River cruise Aeronautics and aircraft * Cruise (aeronautics), a distinct stage of an aircraft's flight * Aviasouz Cruise, a R ...
vessels. Turbidity currents may be triggered by the landslide or tsunami, potentially damaging two
submarine cable Submarine cable is any electrical cable that is laid on the seabed, although the term is often extended to encompass cables laid on the bottom of large freshwater bodies of water. Examples include: *Submarine communications cable *Submarine power ...
s in the sound. Remaining oil in sediments from the
Exxon Valdez oil spill The ''Exxon Valdez'' oil spill occurred in Prince William Sound, Alaska, on March 24, 1989. ''Exxon Valdez'', an oil supertanker owned by Exxon Shipping Company bound for Long Beach, California struck Prince William Sound's Bligh Reef, west o ...
could be remobilized and impact the natural environment. A tsunami would strike Whittier within 20 minutes of the landslide occurring. The tsunami heights is similar to that of the
1964 Alaska earthquake The 1964 Alaskan earthquake, also known as the Great Alaskan earthquake and Good Friday earthquake, occurred at 5:36 PM AKST on Good Friday, March 27.
when it struck the city. The following year, a report by the
U.S. Geological Survey The United States Geological Survey (USGS), formerly simply known as the Geological Survey, is a scientific agency of the United States government. The scientists of the USGS study the landscape of the United States, its natural resources, and ...
reassessed the tsunami threat posed by the landslide and said that the tsunami offshore Whittier may be slightly over in a worst-case scenario. In this separate scenario, the tsunami would exceed in the northern part of the fjord. In the southern fjord and at Harriman Fjord, the tsunami waves could be more than . The simulation used data from bathymetric maps by the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (abbreviated as NOAA ) is an United States scientific and regulatory agency within the United States Department of Commerce that forecasts weather, monitors oceanic and atmospheric conditio ...
and
lidar Lidar (, also LIDAR, or LiDAR; sometimes LADAR) is a method for determining ranges (variable distance) by targeting an object or a surface with a laser and measuring the time for the reflected light to return to the receiver. It can also be ...
imaging from the Alaska Division of Geological and Geophysical Surveys. The U.S. Geological Survey said that the tsunami hazard is not as severe as initially thought but still pose a threat to coastal settlements.


References

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External links


Barry Arm landslide and tsunami information
City of Whittier, Alaska

Alaska Division of Geological & Geophysical Surveys
Barry Arm, Alaska Landslide and Tsunami Monitoring
United States Geological Survey Landslides in the United States Kenai Mountains-Turnagain Arm National Heritage Area Landslides in 2022 Landslides in 2010 Landslides in 2013 Tsunamis in the United States Geology of Alaska Megatsunami