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Balanced repeated replication is a statistical technique for estimating the sampling variability of a statistic obtained by stratified sampling.


Outline of the technique

# ''Select balanced half-samples'' from the full sample. # ''Calculate the statistic of interest'' for each half-sample. # ''Estimate the variance of the statistic'' on the basis of differences between the full-sample and half-sample values.


Selection of half-samples


Simplified version

Consider first an idealized situation, where each stratum of our sample contains only two units. Then each half-sample will contain exactly one of these, so that the half-samples share the stratification of the full sample. If there are ''s'' strata, we would ideally take all 2''s'' ways of choosing the half-stratum; but if ''s'' is large, this may be infeasible. If fewer half-samples must be taken, they are selected so as to be "balanced" (hence the name of the technique). Let ''H'' be a
Hadamard matrix In mathematics, a Hadamard matrix, named after the French mathematician Jacques Hadamard, is a square matrix whose entries are either +1 or −1 and whose rows are mutually orthogonal. In geometric terms, this means that each pair of rows ...
of size ''s'', and choose one row per half-sample. (It doesn't matter which rows; the important fact is that all the rows of ''H'' are orthogonal.) Now, for each half-sample, choose which unit to take from each stratum according to the sign of the corresponding entry in ''H'': that is, for half-sample ''h'', we choose the first unit from stratum ''k'' if ''Hhk'' = −1 and the second unit if ''Hhk'' = +1. The orthogonality of rows of ''H'' ensures that our choices are uncorrelated between half-samples.


Realistic version

Unfortunately, there may not be a Hadamard matrix of size ''s''. In this case, we choose one of size slightly larger than ''s''. Now the submatrix of ''H'' which defines our choices need no longer have exactly orthogonal rows, but if the size of ''H'' is only slightly larger than ''s'' the rows will be approximately orthogonal. The number of units per stratum need not be exactly 2, and typically will not be. In this case, the units in each stratum are divided into two "variance PSUs" (PSU = primary sampling unit) of equal or nearly-equal size. This may be done at random, or in such a way as to make the PSUs as similar as possible. (So, for instance, if stratification was done on the basis of some numerical parameter, the units in each stratum may be sorted in order of this parameter, and alternate ones chosen for the two PSUs.) If the number of strata is very large, multiple strata may be combined before applying BRR. The resulting groups are known as "variance strata".


BRR formula

Let ''a'' be the value of our statistic as calculated from the full sample; let ''ai'' (''i'' = 1,...,''n'') be the corresponding statistics calculated for the half-samples. (''n'' is the number of half-samples.) Then our estimate for the sampling variance of the statistic is the average of (''ai'' − ''a'')2. This is (at least in the ideal case) an unbiased estimate of the sampling variance.


Fay's method

Fay's method is a generalization of BRR. Instead of simply taking half-size samples, we use the full sample every time but with unequal weighting: ''k'' for units outside the half-sample and 2 − ''k'' for units inside it. (BRR is the case ''k'' = 0.) The variance estimate is then ''V''/(1 − ''k'')2, where ''V'' is the estimate given by the BRR formula above.


See also

*
Resampling (statistics) In statistics, resampling is the creation of new samples based on one observed sample. Resampling methods are: # Permutation tests (also re-randomization tests) # Bootstrapping In general, bootstrapping usually refers to a self-starting proces ...


References and external links


Balanced Repeated Replication
from the American Institutes for Research * Mccarthy, P. J. (1969). Pseudo-replication: Half samples. ''Review of the International Statistical Institute'', 37 (3), 239-264
Krewski, D. and J. N. K. Rao (1981). Inference from stratified samples: Properties of the linearization, jackknife and balanced repeated replication methods. ''The Annals of Statistics'', 9 (5), 1010-1019.

Judkins, D. R. (1990). Fay's method for variance estimation. ''Journal of Official Statistics'', 6 (3), 223-239.

Rao, J. N. K. and C. F. J. Wu (1985). Inference from stratified samples: Second-order analysis of three methods for nonlinear statistics. ''Journal of the American Statistical Association'', 80 (391), 620-630.
Resampling (statistics) Sampling (statistics)