Adam A. Scaife FRMetS FInstP is a British physicist and head of long range prediction at the

Met Office The Meteorological Office, abbreviated as the Met Office, is the United Kingdom's national weather service. It is an executive agency and trading fund of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy and is led by CEO Penelope E ...

. He is also a professor at

Exeter University , mottoeng = "We Follow the Light" , established = 1838 - St Luke's College1855 - Exeter School of Art1863 - Exeter School of Science 1955 - University of Exeter (received royal charter) , type = Public , ...

. Scaife carries out research into long range weather forecasting and computer modelling of the climate and has published around 200 peer reviewed studies on atmospheric dynamics,

computer modelling Computer simulation is the process of mathematical modelling, performed on a computer, which is designed to predict the behaviour of, or the outcome of, a real-world or physical system. The reliability of some mathematical models can be deter ...

and

climate Climate is the long-term weather pattern in an area, typically averaged over 30 years. More rigorously, it is the mean and variability of meteorological variables over a time spanning from months to millions of years. Some of the meteorologic ...

as well as popular science and academic books on meteorology.

Career

Scaife studied Natural Sciences (Physics) at

Cambridge University , mottoeng = Literal: From here, light and sacred draughts. Non literal: From this place, we gain enlightenment and precious knowledge. , established = , other_name = The Chancellor, Masters and Schola ...

(1988-1991), Environmental Science at

Surrey University The University of Surrey is a public research university in Guildford, Surrey, England. The university received its royal charter in 1966, along with a number of other institutions following recommendations in the Robbins Report. The instituti ...

(1991-1992) and was awarded a PhD in Meteorology from Reading University (1999). He joined the Met Office in 1992 where he worked on climate dynamics and the development of improved computer models of the climate . Many of his studies show how predictable factors affect

weather Weather is the state of the atmosphere, describing for example the degree to which it is hot or cold, wet or dry, calm or stormy, clear or cloudy. On Earth, most weather phenomena occur in the lowest layer of the planet's atmosphere, the ...

from months to decades ahead. Since 2003 he has led teams of scientists in the

Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, working on climate modeling and long range weather prediction. He now leads research and production of monthly, seasonal and decadal predictions at the Met Office. Scaife and his team have made recent advances in long range weather forecasting and have uncovered a signal to noise paradox that makes current climate models better at predicting the real world than they are at predicting themselves. Scaife was co-chair of the World Meteorological Organisation's Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and served as a member of the scientific steering group of the World Climate Research Programme's core project on the stratosphere and its role in climate. He is a fellow of the

Institute of Physics The Institute of Physics (IOP) is a UK-based learned society and professional body that works to advance physics education, research and application. It was founded in 1874 and has a worldwide membership of over 20,000. The IOP is the Physica ...

and the

Royal Meteorological Society The Royal Meteorological Society is a long-established institution that promotes academic and public engagement in weather and climate science. Fellows of the Society must possess relevant qualifications, but Associate Fellows can be lay enthus ...

and co-leads the World Meteorological Organisation's grand challenge on Near Term Climate Prediction. Scaife is also member of the Royal Meteorological Society climate communications group , regularly comments on extreme climate events , and is often involved in communicating climate science to the public .

Awards

*Institute of Physics Edward Appleton Medal (2020) *Royal Meteorological Society's Buchan Prize (2019) *Copernicus Medal (2018) *American Geophysical Union ASCENT Award (2016) *Royal Meteorological Society's Adrian Gill Award (2014) *L.G. Groves Memorial prize (2013) *Lloyds Science of Risk Prize for Climate Science (2011)

References

{{DEFAULTSORT:Scaife, Adam British meteorologists Met Office Academics of the University of Exeter 1970 births Living people Alumni of the University of Surrey English physicists Alumni of Fitzwilliam College, Cambridge Alumni of the University of Reading