2022–2023 Pakistan Political Unrest

The 2022–23 Pakistan political unrest was a series of political crises after the ousting of former prime minister Imran Khan through a no-confidence motion in April 2022. The crises began in 2022 when the opposition joined hands and submitted a no-confidence motion against Imran Khan's government in the National Assembly. Prime Minister Imran Khan urged the Pakistani establishment not to stay neutral and play its role to save his government and not let historical rival politicians with alleged corruption charges take over, but the establishment refused.

Allegations of the US interference in Pakistani politics could damage already weak bilateral ties, with anti-American sentiment surging. It was revealed in leaked cables shared with ''The Intercept'' on 9 August 2023, that the US government had secretly encouraged Imran Khan's ouster, promising warmer relations if Khan was removed and threatening isolation if he was not.

After his ouster, Imran Khan kickstarted his movement and called for early general elections, for which calls escalated after the Khan-led PTI dissolved two of its provincial assemblies (Punjab and KP), triggering elections in 60% of the country due on 30 April 2023 and 28 May 2023, respectively.

Khan's calls received a broadly positive response from the general public, with a Gallup survey declaring Imran Khan as the most popular current political leader in Pakistan, with 61% of Pakistanis having a positive opinion about him, followed by 36% for the PML-N's Nawaz Sharif and former foreign minister Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari, respectively.

Imran Khan was arrested by the police from Islamabad High Court on 9 May 2023. Khan's arrest led to a nationwide protest by his supporters. PTI supporters had reportedly indulged into violence to stage their protest against this arrest. Social media platforms including Twitter, Facebook and others were blocked in the country. but was later released by Supreme Court two days later. On 5 August 2023, Imran Khan was again arrested on the charges of selling state gifts and was sentenced to three years jail and five years of disqualification by the trial court Judge. On 29 August 2023, Islamabad High Court suspended Imran Khan's sentence. China has lost confidence in the prospects of generating returns from its investments in the crisis-ridden nation. Pakistan's economy remains under severe strain due to a debt crisis, with the country facing challenges in repaying $1.2 billion in outstanding payments.

In Pakistan, inflation maintains its upward trajectory, as indicated by the most recent official data, which shows a year-on-year increase of 35.4% in the consumer price index for March 2023. This marks a significant surge compared to the 31.5% increase recorded in the previous month and the 12.7% rate seen in March 2022. The primary drivers of this multi-decade-high inflation rate are the surging prices of essential commodities, particularly food and fuel.

Background

2018: Election as prime minister

General election were held in Pakistan on Wednesday, 25 July 2018 to elect the members of 15th National Assembly and the four Provincial Assemblies. The three major parties Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) led by Imran Khan, the Pakistan Muslim League led by Shehbaz Sharif and the Pakistan Peoples Party led by Bilawal Bhutto.

PTI won the most seats in the National Assembly but fell short of a majority; the party subsequently formed a coalition government with several smaller parties.

Following the elections, six major parties including PML-N claimed there had been large-scale vote rigging and administrative malpractices. Imran Khan, chairman of the PTI, proceeded to form a coalition government, announcing his cabinet shortly after the elections.

Claims of electoral malpractice in the 2018 elections are still hotly debated. Numerous neutral observers have issued statements on the credibility of the result, with a top electoral watchdog, Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN), saying that the 2018 general elections in Pakistan had been "more transparent in some aspects" than the previous polls. The EU Election Observation Mission to Pakistan maintained, however, that a "level playing field" was not afforded to all parties and that the process was not "as good as that of 2013".

Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM)

The PDM is political movement founded in September 2020, which is based on allegations of rigging in the 2018 Pakistani general election, which Imran Khan's Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf won. Imran Khan's government, however, maintained that the movement was motivated by a series of corruption cases against the leaders of the political parties that had were previously in power, namely the Pakistan Muslim League (PMLN) and the Pakistan People's Party (PPP).

Military confrontation

The tensions between Khan and the army arose in 2021, when Khan tried to appoint his own choice as the new ISI chief. The army resisted this move, and Khan eventually backed down. However, the tensions continued, and in April 2022, Khan was ousted from power in a no-confidence motion. it is widely believed that the army was responsible behind his removal.

After removal, Imran Khan waged a campaign against the military and held rallies and speeches in which he criticized the army's role in Pakistani politics.

Tension reached a melting point when after he was brazenly arrested from the high court by the paramilitary forces, Pakistan Rangers, which later was termed as illegal by the Supreme court. Following his arrest, Khan's supporters stormed the army headquarters in Rawalpindi and set fire to the house of a senior general. The army responded by cracking down on Khan's supporters, and several PTI leaders were arrested.

Khan's campaign against the military has not been without its challenges. The army has a powerful influence in Pakistani politics, and it has been able to silence Khan's critics. Khan himself has been arrested and detained on several occasions.

Despite the challenges, Khan has shown no signs of backing down from his campaign against the military. He is determined to reduce the military's influence in Pakistani politics, and he believes that this is the only way to ensure that the country becomes more democratic.

Unrest

No-confidence motion against Imran Khan

A no-confidence motion was tabled against PM Imran Khan on 28 March 2022. This was followed by a slow trickle of allies going from the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) led government to the Pakistan Muslim League (N) (PML-N) led opposition. First came independent members and the Jamhoori Watan Party, followed by the Balochistan Awami Party (BAP) and defectors from the Pakistan Muslim League (Q) (PML-Q). However, the final death blow to the ruling coalition was the defection of the Muttahida Qaumi Movement – Pakistan. The opposition also claimed it had the support from a group of PTI MNAs led by ex-secretary general of the PTI, Jahangir Tareen. The PTI alleged that this was in violation of article 63(a) of the Pakistani constitution. The voting was scheduled to take place on 3 April. However, the deputy speaker, Qasim Suri, refused to hold the vote, citing a foreign conspiracy against the government, and article 5 of the constitution. This was later ruled unconstitutional by the Supreme Court. Voting finally took place on 9 April, with Imran Khan losing the vote. Shehbaz Sharif was elected Prime Minister of Pakistan two days later, on 11 April.

Imran Khan conspiracy concerns against USA

During an exclusive interview with CNN's Becky Andersen, former prime minister Imran Khan claimed that Donald Lu, assistant secretary of the US Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, insisted that Imran Khan should be removed from office, as the sheer presence of Imran Khan in Pakistan is making the US's ties with India and Afghanistan difficult. Khan indicated to CNN that Lu had made serious allegations that if Khan is not removed, Pakistan would "suffer consequences". A US State Department spokesperson insisted to CNN that these rumors from Khan are false. Khan supports his claims by referencing an undisclosed diplomatic cable from the US.

Massive protests following the vote of no confidence

Countrywide marches broke out across the nation following the success of the vote of no confidence, many of which moved towards Islamabad. Demonstrations also sprang up amongst the Pakistani communities in Australia, United Kingdom, New Zealand, United States, Canada, Italy and other countries On 10 April 2022, tens of thousands marched in cities across Pakistan, waving large party flags and chanting slogans. This led to a creation of Haqeeqi-Azadi Movement.

Provincial Assembly of the Punjab crisis

After years of political pressure, the Chief Minister of Punjab Usman Buzdar resigned. The resignation was accepted by the governor on 1 April 2022. The current speaker, Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi, a member of the PML(Q), was nominated by the PML(Q) and PTI for the role of chief minister, while the opposition parties, PML-N and PPP nominated Hamza Shehbaz of the PML(N). Due to the speaker being a contestant in the election, the deputy speaker, Dost Muhammad Mazari of the PTI was in charge of the proceedings. The election, originally scheduled for 16 April was moved ahead to 6 April by the deputy speaker. However, the secretary assembly refused to comply with his orders, and a no-confidence motion was moved against him by his own party.

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly

On 8 April, opposition parties in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly filed a no-confidence motion against Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Chief Minister Mahmood Khan. The no-confidence motion was filed by Awami National Party parliamentary leader Sardar Hussain Babak, provincial senior vice president Khush Dil Khan, MPA Shagufta Malik and others from the united opposition in the provincial assembly secretariat. The no-confidence motion has the signatures of more than 20 members.

No-confidence motion against Azad Kashmir prime minister

On 12 April 2022, PTI submitted a motion of no-confidence against their own Azad Kashmir prime minister who was then replaced.

Oath crises in the Legislature

National Assembly

When PML-N leader Shahbaz Sharif was elected prime minister, President Arif Alvi had to take oath from him. However, the president went on leave due to illness. In his absence, Senate Chairman Sadiq Sanjrani administered the oath of office to the new prime minister.

On 19 April 2022, Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif's 34-member cabinet was sworn in, but President Arif Alvi refused again.

Punjab Assembly

A session of the Punjab Assembly was held on 16 April 2022, in which the opposition candidate Hamza Shahbaz was elected the new Chief Minister but he was not able to take the oath of office. Governor of Punjab Omar Sarfaraz Cheema refused to administer the oath to newly elected Chief Minister Hamza Shahbaz. The Supreme Court later declared the election of Hamza Shehbaz as Chief Minister unconstitutional and stated that the deputy speaker’s actions in the election were unconstitutional. The ruling also installed Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi as the Chief Minister of Punjab.

Haqeeqi Azadi March I

The 2022 Azadi March I (Urdu