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Scaled Inverse Chi-squared Distribution
The scaled inverse chi-squared distribution is the distribution for ''x'' = 1/''s''2, where ''s''2 is a sample mean of the squares of ν independent normal random variables that have mean 0 and inverse variance 1/σ2 = τ2. The distribution is therefore parametrised by the two quantities ν and τ2, referred to as the ''number of chi-squared degrees of freedom'' and the ''scaling parameter'', respectively. This family of scaled inverse chi-squared distributions is closely related to two other distribution families, those of the inverse-chi-squared distribution and the inverse-gamma distribution. Compared to the inverse-chi-squared distribution, the scaled distribution has an extra parameter ''τ''2, which scales the distribution horizontally and vertically, representing the inverse-variance of the original underlying process. Also, the scaled inverse chi-squared distribution is presented as the distribution for the inverse of the ''mean'' of ν squared deviat ...
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Scaled Inverse Chi Squared
Scaled may mean: * Scaled Composites (often abbreviated as Scaled), formerly the Rutan Aircraft Factory * Scaled Aviation Industries of Lahore, Pakistan, a Light Sports Aircraft Manufacturer * Something which has undergone a scale transformation ** Scale model#Scales ** Scaling (geometry) See also *Scale (other) Scale or scales may refer to: Mathematics * Scale (descriptive set theory), an object defined on a set of points * Scale (ratio), the ratio of a linear dimension of a model to the corresponding dimension of the original * Scale factor, a number w ...
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Characteristic Function (probability Theory)
In probability theory and statistics, the characteristic function of any real-valued random variable completely defines its probability distribution. If a random variable admits a probability density function, then the characteristic function is the Fourier transform of the probability density function. Thus it provides an alternative route to analytical results compared with working directly with probability density functions or cumulative distribution functions. There are particularly simple results for the characteristic functions of distributions defined by the weighted sums of random variables. In addition to univariate distributions, characteristic functions can be defined for vector- or matrix-valued random variables, and can also be extended to more generic cases. The characteristic function always exists when treated as a function of a real-valued argument, unlike the moment-generating function. There are relations between the behavior of the characteristic function of a ...
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Pearson Distribution
The Pearson distribution is a family of continuous probability distribution, continuous probability distributions. It was first published by Karl Pearson in 1895 and subsequently extended by him in 1901 and 1916 in a series of articles on biostatistics. History The Pearson system was originally devised in an effort to model visibly skewness, skewed observations. It was well known at the time how to adjust a theoretical model to fit the first two cumulants or moment (mathematics), moments of observed data: Any probability distribution can be extended straightforwardly to form a location-scale family. Except in pathological (mathematics), pathological cases, a location-scale family can be made to fit the observed mean (mathematics), mean (first cumulant) and variance (second cumulant) arbitrarily well. However, it was not known how to construct probability distributions in which the skewness (standardized third cumulant) and kurtosis (standardized fourth cumulant) could be adjuste ...
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Inverse-gamma Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the inverse gamma distribution is a two-parameter family of continuous probability distributions on the positive real line, which is the distribution of the reciprocal of a variable distributed according to the gamma distribution. Perhaps the chief use of the inverse gamma distribution is in Bayesian statistics, where the distribution arises as the marginal posterior distribution for the unknown variance of a normal distribution, if an uninformative prior is used, and as an analytically tractable conjugate prior, if an informative prior is required. It is common among some Bayesians to consider an alternative parametrization of the normal distribution in terms of the precision, defined as the reciprocal of the variance, which allows the gamma distribution to be used directly as a conjugate prior. Other Bayesians prefer to parametrize the inverse gamma distribution differently, as a scaled inverse chi-squared distribution. Characterizatio ...
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Inverse-chi-squared Distribution
In probability and statistics, the inverse-chi-squared distribution (or inverted-chi-square distributionBernardo, J.M.; Smith, A.F.M. (1993) ''Bayesian Theory'' ,Wiley (pages 119, 431) ) is a continuous probability distribution of a positive-valued random variable. It is closely related to the chi-squared distribution. It arises in Bayesian inference, where it can be used as the prior and posterior distribution for an unknown variance of the normal distribution. Definition The inverse-chi-squared distribution (or inverted-chi-square distribution ) is the probability distribution of a random variable whose multiplicative inverse (reciprocal) has a chi-squared distribution. It is also often defined as the distribution of a random variable whose reciprocal divided by its degrees of freedom is a chi-squared distribution. That is, if X has the chi-squared distribution with \nu degrees of freedom, then according to the first definition, 1/X has the inverse-chi-squared distribution w ...
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Jeffreys Prior
In Bayesian probability, the Jeffreys prior, named after Sir Harold Jeffreys, is a non-informative (objective) prior distribution for a parameter space; its density function is proportional to the square root of the determinant of the Fisher information matrix: : p\left(\vec\theta\right) \propto \sqrt.\, It has the key feature that it is invariant under a change of coordinates for the parameter vector \vec\theta. That is, the relative probability assigned to a volume of a probability space using a Jeffreys prior will be the same regardless of the parameterization used to define the Jeffreys prior. This makes it of special interest for use with ''scale parameters''. Reparameterization One-parameter case If \theta and \varphi are two possible parametrizations of a statistical model, and \theta is a continuously differentiable function of \varphi, we say that the prior p_\theta(\theta) is "invariant" under a reparametrization if :p_\varphi(\varphi) = p_\theta(\theta) \left, \frac ...
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Conditional Probability
In probability theory, conditional probability is a measure of the probability of an event occurring, given that another event (by assumption, presumption, assertion or evidence) has already occurred. This particular method relies on event B occurring with some sort of relationship with another event A. In this event, the event B can be analyzed by a conditional probability with respect to A. If the event of interest is and the event is known or assumed to have occurred, "the conditional probability of given ", or "the probability of under the condition ", is usually written as or occasionally . This can also be understood as the fraction of probability B that intersects with A: P(A \mid B) = \frac. For example, the probability that any given person has a cough on any given day may be only 5%. But if we know or assume that the person is sick, then they are much more likely to be coughing. For example, the conditional probability that someone unwell (sick) is coughing might be ...
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Likelihood Function
The likelihood function (often simply called the likelihood) represents the probability of random variable realizations conditional on particular values of the statistical parameters. Thus, when evaluated on a given sample, the likelihood function indicates which parameter values are more ''likely'' than others, in the sense that they would have made the observed data more probable. Consequently, the likelihood is often written as \mathcal(\theta\mid X) instead of P(X \mid \theta), to emphasize that it is to be understood as a function of the parameters \theta instead of the random variable X. In maximum likelihood estimation, the arg max of the likelihood function serves as a point estimate for \theta, while local curvature (approximated by the likelihood's Hessian matrix) indicates the estimate's precision. Meanwhile in Bayesian statistics, parameter estimates are derived from the converse of the likelihood, the so-called posterior probability, which is calculated via Bayes' r ...
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Prior Distribution
In Bayesian statistical inference, a prior probability distribution, often simply called the prior, of an uncertain quantity is the probability distribution that would express one's beliefs about this quantity before some evidence is taken into account. For example, the prior could be the probability distribution representing the relative proportions of voters who will vote for a particular politician in a future election. The unknown quantity may be a parameter of the model or a latent variable rather than an observable variable. Bayes' theorem calculates the renormalized pointwise product of the prior and the likelihood function, to produce the '' posterior probability distribution'', which is the conditional distribution of the uncertain quantity given the data. Similarly, the prior probability of a random event or an uncertain proposition is the unconditional probability that is assigned before any relevant evidence is taken into account. Priors can be created using a ...
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Posterior Probability Distribution
The posterior probability is a type of conditional probability that results from updating the prior probability with information summarized by the likelihood via an application of Bayes' rule. From an epistemological perspective, the posterior probability contains everything there is to know about an uncertain proposition (such as a scientific hypothesis, or parameter values), given prior knowledge and a mathematical model describing the observations available at a particular time. After the arrival of new information, the current posterior probability may serve as the prior in another round of Bayesian updating. In the context of Bayesian statistics, the posterior probability distribution usually describes the epistemic uncertainty about statistical parameters conditional on a collection of observed data. From a given posterior distribution, various point and interval estimates can be derived, such as the maximum a posteriori (MAP) or the highest posterior density interval (HPDI ...
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Bayes' Theorem
In probability theory and statistics, Bayes' theorem (alternatively Bayes' law or Bayes' rule), named after Thomas Bayes, describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. For example, if the risk of developing health problems is known to increase with age, Bayes' theorem allows the risk to an individual of a known age to be assessed more accurately (by conditioning it on their age) than simply assuming that the individual is typical of the population as a whole. One of the many applications of Bayes' theorem is Bayesian inference, a particular approach to statistical inference. When applied, the probabilities involved in the theorem may have different probability interpretations. With Bayesian probability interpretation, the theorem expresses how a degree of belief, expressed as a probability, should rationally change to account for the availability of related evidence. Bayesian inference is fundamental to Bayesia ...
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Digamma Function
In mathematics, the digamma function is defined as the logarithmic derivative of the gamma function: :\psi(x)=\frac\ln\big(\Gamma(x)\big)=\frac\sim\ln-\frac. It is the first of the polygamma functions. It is strictly increasing and strictly concave on (0,\infty). The digamma function is often denoted as \psi_0(x), \psi^(x) or (the uppercase form of the archaic Greek consonant digamma meaning double-gamma). Relation to harmonic numbers The gamma function obeys the equation :\Gamma(z+1)=z\Gamma(z). \, Taking the derivative with respect to gives: :\Gamma'(z+1)=z\Gamma'(z)+\Gamma(z) \, Dividing by or the equivalent gives: :\frac=\frac+\frac or: :\psi(z+1)=\psi(z)+\frac Since the harmonic numbers are defined for positive integers as :H_n=\sum_^n \frac 1 k, the digamma function is related to them by :\psi(n)=H_-\gamma, where and is the Euler–Mascheroni constant. For half-integer arguments the digamma function takes the values : \psi \left(n+\tfrac12\ri ...
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