Tweedie Convergence Theorem
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Tweedie Convergence Theorem
In probability and statistics, the Tweedie distributions are a family of probability distributions which include the purely continuous normal, gamma and inverse Gaussian distributions, the purely discrete scaled Poisson distribution, and the class of compound Poisson–gamma distributions which have positive mass at zero, but are otherwise continuous. Tweedie distributions are a special case of exponential dispersion models and are often used as distributions for generalized linear models. The Tweedie distributions were named by Bent Jørgensen in after Maurice Tweedie, a statistician and medical physicist at the University of Liverpool, UK, who presented the first thorough study of these distributions in 1982 when the conference was held. Around the same time, Bar-Lev and Enis published about the same topic. Definitions The (reproductive) Tweedie distributions are defined as subfamily of (reproductive) exponential dispersion models (ED), with a special mean-variance re ...
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Probability
Probability is a branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur."Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics, Volume 1: Distribution Theory", Alan Stuart and Keith Ord, 6th ed., (2009), .William Feller, ''An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications'', vol. 1, 3rd ed., (1968), Wiley, . This number is often expressed as a percentage (%), ranging from 0% to 100%. A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the coin is fair, the two outcomes ("heads" and "tails") are both equally probable; the probability of "heads" equals the probability of "tails"; and since no other outcomes are possible, the probability of either "heads" or "tails" is 1/2 (which could also be written as 0.5 or 50%). These concepts have been given an axiomatic mathematical formaliza ...
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Variance
In probability theory and statistics, variance is the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean of a random variable. The standard deviation (SD) is obtained as the square root of the variance. Variance is a measure of dispersion, meaning it is a measure of how far a set of numbers is spread out from their average value. It is the second central moment of a distribution, and the covariance of the random variable with itself, and it is often represented by \sigma^2, s^2, \operatorname(X), V(X), or \mathbb(X). An advantage of variance as a measure of dispersion is that it is more amenable to algebraic manipulation than other measures of dispersion such as the expected absolute deviation; for example, the variance of a sum of uncorrelated random variables is equal to the sum of their variances. A disadvantage of the variance for practical applications is that, unlike the standard deviation, its units differ from the random variable, which is why the standard devi ...
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Compound Poisson Distribution
In probability theory, a compound Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of the sum of a number of independent identically-distributed random variables, where the number of terms to be added is itself a Poisson-distributed variable. The result can be either a continuous or a discrete distribution. Definition Suppose that :N\sim\operatorname(\lambda), i.e., ''N'' is a random variable whose distribution is a Poisson distribution with expected value λ, and that :X_1, X_2, X_3, \dots are identically distributed random variables that are mutually independent and also independent of ''N''. Then the probability distribution of the sum of N i.i.d. random variables :Y = \sum_^N X_n is a compound Poisson distribution. In the case ''N'' = 0, then this is a sum of 0 terms, so the value of ''Y'' is 0. Hence the conditional distribution of ''Y'' given that ''N'' = 0 is a degenerate distribution. The compound Poisson distribution is obtained by marginalising the ...
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Domain (mathematical Analysis)
In mathematical analysis, a domain or region is a non-empty, connected, and open set in a topological space. In particular, it is any non-empty connected open subset of the real coordinate space or the complex coordinate space . A connected open subset of coordinate space is frequently used for the domain of a function. The basic idea of a connected subset of a space dates from the 19th century, but precise definitions vary slightly from generation to generation, author to author, and edition to edition, as concepts developed and terms were translated between German, French, and English works. In English, some authors use the term ''domain'', some use the term ''region'', some use both terms interchangeably, and some define the two terms slightly differently; some avoid ambiguity by sticking with a phrase such as ''non-empty connected open subset''. Conventions One common convention is to define a ''domain'' as a connected open set but a ''region'' as the union of a domain w ...
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Attractor
In the mathematical field of dynamical systems, an attractor is a set of states toward which a system tends to evolve, for a wide variety of starting conditions of the system. System values that get close enough to the attractor values remain close even if slightly disturbed. In finite-dimensional systems, the evolving variable may be represented algebraically as an ''n''-dimensional vector. The attractor is a region in ''n''-dimensional space. In physical systems, the ''n'' dimensions may be, for example, two or three positional coordinates for each of one or more physical entities; in economic systems, they may be separate variables such as the inflation rate and the unemployment rate. If the evolving variable is two- or three-dimensional, the attractor of the dynamic process can be represented geometrically in two or three dimensions, (as for example in the three-dimensional case depicted to the right). An attractor can be a point, a finite set of points, a curve, a mani ...
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Convergence In Distribution
In probability theory, there exist several different notions of convergence of sequences of random variables, including ''convergence in probability'', ''convergence in distribution'', and ''almost sure convergence''. The different notions of convergence capture different properties about the sequence, with some notions of convergence being stronger than others. For example, convergence in distribution tells us about the limit distribution of a sequence of random variables. This is a weaker notion than convergence in probability, which tells us about the value a random variable will take, rather than just the distribution. The concept is important in probability theory, and its applications to statistics and stochastic processes. The same concepts are known in more general mathematics as stochastic convergence and they formalize the idea that certain properties of a sequence of essentially random or unpredictable events can sometimes be expected to settle down into a behavior that ...
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Deviance (statistics)
In statistics Statistics (from German language, German: ', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a s ..., deviance is a goodness-of-fit statistic for a statistical model; it is often used for statistical hypothesis testing. It is a generalization of the idea of using the sum of squares of residuals (SSR) in ordinary least squares to cases where model-fitting is achieved by maximum likelihood. It plays an important role in exponential dispersion models and generalized linear models. Deviance can be related to Kullback-Leibler divergence. Definition The unit deviance d(y,\mu) is a bivariate function that satisfies the following conditions: * d(y,y) = 0 * d(y,\mu) > 0 \quad\forall y \neq \mu The total deviance D(\mathbf,\hat) of a model with predictions \hat of the observation \mathbf is the sum of its unit devian ...
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Natural Exponential Family
In probability and statistics, a natural exponential family (NEF) is a class of probability distributions that is a special case of an exponential family (EF). Definition Univariate case The natural exponential families (NEF) are a subset of the exponential families. A NEF is an exponential family in which the natural parameter ''η'' and the natural statistic ''T''(''x'') are both the identity. A distribution in an exponential family with parameter ''θ'' can be written with probability density function (PDF) f_X(x\mid \theta) = h(x)\ \exp\Big(\ \eta(\theta) T(x) - A(\theta)\ \Big) \,\! , where h(x) and A(\theta) are known functions. A distribution in a natural exponential family with parameter θ can thus be written with PDF f_X(x\mid \theta) = h(x)\ \exp\Big(\ \theta x - A(\theta)\ \Big) \,\! . [Note that slightly different notation is used by the originator of the NEF, Carl Morris.Morris C. (2006) "Natural exponential families", ''Encyclopedia of Statis ...
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Variance Function
In statistics, the variance function is a smooth function that depicts the variance of a random quantity as a function of its mean. The variance function is a measure of heteroscedasticity and plays a large role in many settings of statistical modelling. It is a main ingredient in the generalized linear model framework and a tool used in non-parametric regression, semiparametric regression and functional data analysis. In parametric modeling, variance functions take on a parametric form and explicitly describe the relationship between the variance and the mean of a random quantity. In a non-parametric setting, the variance function is assumed to be a smooth function. Intuition In a regression model setting, the goal is to establish whether or not a relationship exists between a response variable and a set of predictor variables. Further, if a relationship does exist, the goal is then to be able to describe this relationship as best as possible. A main assumption in linear re ...
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