Markov Assumption
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Markov Assumption
In probability theory and statistics, the term Markov property refers to the memoryless property of a stochastic process. It is named after the Russian mathematician Andrey Markov. The term strong Markov property is similar to the Markov property, except that the meaning of "present" is defined in terms of a random variable known as a stopping time. The term Markov assumption is used to describe a model where the Markov assumption is assumed to hold, such as a hidden Markov model. A Markov random field extends this property to two or more dimensions or to random variables defined for an interconnected network of items. An example of a model for such a field is the Ising model. A discrete-time stochastic process satisfying the Markov property is known as a Markov chain. Introduction A stochastic process has the Markov property if the conditional probability distribution of future states of the process (conditional on both past and present values) depends only upon the pres ...
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Wiener Process 3d
Wiener (from German: "Viennese") may refer to: Food * A Polish sausage (kielbasa) or "wenar" * A Vienna sausage of German origin, named after the capital of Austria * A hot dog, a cooked sausage, traditionally grilled or steamed and served in a sliced bun People * Wiener (surname) Places *Wiener Neudorf, a town in the eastern part of the Mödling district, Austria *Wiener Neustadt, a town south of Vienna, in the state of Lower Austria, Austria *Wiener Stadthalle, an indoor arena, in Vienna, Austria *Wiener Staatsoper, the Vienna State Opera Other uses *The Wiener AC, also known as Wiener AC or WAC, an Austrian sports club in Vienna * Wiener process, a mathematical model related to Brownian motion * Wiener equation, named after Norbert Wiener, assumes the current velocity of a fluid particle fluctuates randomly * Wiener filter, a noise filter used in signal processing * Wiener (crater), a crater on the far side of the Moon *''Wiener Bonbons'', a waltz by Johan Strauss II *The ...
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Markov Process
A Markov chain or Markov process is a stochastic model describing a sequence of possible events in which the probability of each event depends only on the state attained in the previous event. Informally, this may be thought of as, "What happens next depends only on the state of affairs ''now''." A countably infinite sequence, in which the chain moves state at discrete time steps, gives a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC). A continuous-time process is called a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC). It is named after the Russian mathematician Andrey Markov. Markov chains have many applications as statistical models of real-world processes, such as studying cruise control systems in motor vehicles, queues or lines of customers arriving at an airport, currency exchange rates and animal population dynamics. Markov processes are the basis for general stochastic simulation methods known as Markov chain Monte Carlo, which are used for simulating sampling from complex probability distr ...
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Predictive Modelling
Predictive modelling uses statistics to predict outcomes. Most often the event one wants to predict is in the future, but predictive modelling can be applied to any type of unknown event, regardless of when it occurred. For example, predictive models are often used to detect crimes and identify suspects, after the crime has taken place. In many cases the model is chosen on the basis of detection theory to try to guess the probability of an outcome given a set amount of input data, for example given an email determining how likely that it is spam. Models can use one or more classifiers in trying to determine the probability of a set of data belonging to another set. For example, a model might be used to determine whether an email is spam or "ham" (non-spam). Depending on definitional boundaries, predictive modelling is synonymous with, or largely overlapping with, the field of machine learning, as it is more commonly referred to in academic or research and development contexts. W ...
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Random Variable
A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory variable, or stochastic variable) is a mathematical formalization of a quantity or object which depends on random events. It is a mapping or a function from possible outcomes (e.g., the possible upper sides of a flipped coin such as heads H and tails T) in a sample space (e.g., the set \) to a measurable space, often the real numbers (e.g., \ in which 1 corresponding to H and -1 corresponding to T). Informally, randomness typically represents some fundamental element of chance, such as in the roll of a dice; it may also represent uncertainty, such as measurement error. However, the interpretation of probability is philosophically complicated, and even in specific cases is not always straightforward. The purely mathematical analysis of random variables is independent of such interpretational difficulties, and can be based upon a rigorous axiomatic setup. In the formal mathematical language of measure theory, a random var ...
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Thomas G
Thomas may refer to: People * List of people with given name Thomas * Thomas (name) * Thomas (surname) * Saint Thomas (other) * Thomas Aquinas (1225–1274) Italian Dominican friar, philosopher, and Doctor of the Church * Thomas the Apostle * Thomas (bishop of the East Angles) (fl. 640s–650s), medieval Bishop of the East Angles * Thomas (Archdeacon of Barnstaple) (fl. 1203), Archdeacon of Barnstaple * Thomas, Count of Perche (1195–1217), Count of Perche * Thomas (bishop of Finland) (1248), first known Bishop of Finland * Thomas, Earl of Mar (1330–1377), 14th-century Earl, Aberdeen, Scotland Geography Places in the United States * Thomas, Illinois * Thomas, Indiana * Thomas, Oklahoma * Thomas, Oregon * Thomas, South Dakota * Thomas, Virginia * Thomas, Washington * Thomas, West Virginia * Thomas County (other) * Thomas Township (other) Elsewhere * Thomas Glacier (Greenland) Arts, entertainment, and media * ''Thomas'' (Burton novel) 1969 novel ...
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Natural Filtration
In the theory of stochastic processes in mathematics and statistics, the generated filtration or natural filtration associated to a stochastic process is a filtration associated to the process which records its "past behaviour" at each time. It is in a sense the simplest filtration available for studying the given process: all information concerning the process, and only that information, is available in the natural filtration. More formally, let (Ω, ''F'', P) be a probability space; let (''I'', ≤) be a totally ordered index set; let (''S'', Σ) be a measurable space In mathematics, a measurable space or Borel space is a basic object in measure theory. It consists of a set and a σ-algebra, which defines the subsets that will be measured. Definition Consider a set X and a σ-algebra \mathcal A on X. Then the ...; let ''X'' : ''I'' × Ω → ''S'' be a stochastic process. Then the natural filtration of ''F'' with respect to ''X'' is defined to be the filtration ''F'' ...
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Cambridge University Press
Cambridge University Press is the university press of the University of Cambridge. Granted letters patent by Henry VIII of England, King Henry VIII in 1534, it is the oldest university press A university press is an academic publishing house specializing in monographs and scholarly journals. Most are nonprofit organizations and an integral component of a large research university. They publish work that has been reviewed by schola ... in the world. It is also the King's Printer. Cambridge University Press is a department of the University of Cambridge and is both an academic and educational publisher. It became part of Cambridge University Press & Assessment, following a merger with Cambridge Assessment in 2021. With a global sales presence, publishing hubs, and offices in more than 40 Country, countries, it publishes over 50,000 titles by authors from over 100 countries. Its publishing includes more than 380 academic journals, monographs, reference works, school and uni ...
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Rick Durrett
Richard Timothy Durrett is an American mathematician known for his research and books on mathematical probability theory, stochastic processes and their application to mathematical ecology and population genetics. Education and career He received his BS and MS at Emory University in 1972 and 1973 and his Ph.D. at Stanford University in 1976 under advisor Donald Iglehart. From 1976 to 1985 he taught at UCLA. From 1985 until 2010 was on the faculty at Cornell University, where his students included Claudia Neuhauser. Since 2010, Durrett has been a professor at Duke University. He was elected to the United States National Academy of Sciences in 2007. In 2012 he became a fellow of the American Mathematical Society The American Mathematical Society (AMS) is an association of professional mathematicians dedicated to the interests of mathematical research and scholarship, and serves the national and international community through its publications, meetings, .... Durrett is the ...
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Adapted Process
In the study of stochastic processes, an adapted process (also referred to as a non-anticipating or non-anticipative process) is one that cannot "see into the future". An informal interpretation is that ''X'' is adapted if and only if, for every realisation and every ''n'', ''Xn'' is known at time ''n''. The concept of an adapted process is essential, for instance, in the definition of the Itō integral, which only makes sense if the integrand is an adapted process. Definition Let * (\Omega, \mathcal, \mathbb) be a probability space; * I be an index set with a total order \leq (often, I is \mathbb, \mathbb_0, , T/math> or filtration of the sigma algebra \mathcal; * (S,\Sigma) be a measurable space, the ''state space''; * X: I \times \Omega \to S be a stochastic process. The process X is said to be adapted to the filtration \left(\mathcal_i\right)_ if the random variable X_i: \Omega \to S is a (\mathcal_i, \Sigma)-measurable function for each i \in I. Examples Consider a stochastic ...
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Measurable Space
In mathematics, a measurable space or Borel space is a basic object in measure theory. It consists of a set and a σ-algebra, which defines the subsets that will be measured. Definition Consider a set X and a σ-algebra \mathcal A on X. Then the tuple (X, \mathcal A) is called a measurable space. Note that in contrast to a measure space, no measure is needed for a measurable space. Example Look at the set: X = \. One possible \sigma-algebra would be: \mathcal A_1 = \. Then \left(X, \mathcal A_1\right) is a measurable space. Another possible \sigma-algebra would be the power set on X: \mathcal A_2 = \mathcal P(X). With this, a second measurable space on the set X is given by \left(X, \mathcal A_2\right). Common measurable spaces If X is finite or countably infinite, the \sigma-algebra is most often the power set on X, so \mathcal A = \mathcal P(X). This leads to the measurable space (X, \mathcal P(X)). If X is a topological space In mathematics, a topological space is, rou ...
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Totally Ordered
In mathematics, a total or linear order is a partial order in which any two elements are comparable. That is, a total order is a binary relation \leq on some set X, which satisfies the following for all a, b and c in X: # a \leq a ( reflexive). # If a \leq b and b \leq c then a \leq c ( transitive). # If a \leq b and b \leq a then a = b ( antisymmetric). # a \leq b or b \leq a (strongly connected, formerly called total). Total orders are sometimes also called simple, connex, or full orders. A set equipped with a total order is a totally ordered set; the terms simply ordered set, linearly ordered set, and loset are also used. The term ''chain'' is sometimes defined as a synonym of ''totally ordered set'', but refers generally to some sort of totally ordered subsets of a given partially ordered set. An extension of a given partial order to a total order is called a linear extension of that partial order. Strict and non-strict total orders A on a set X is a strict partial ord ...
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