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Cantelli's Inequality
In probability theory, Cantelli's inequality (also called the Chebyshev-Cantelli inequality and the one-sided Chebyshev inequality) is an improved version of Chebyshev's inequality for one-sided tail bounds. The inequality states that, for \lambda > 0, : \Pr(X-\mathbb ge\lambda) \le \frac, where :X is a real-valued random variable, :\Pr is the probability measure, :\mathbb /math> is the expected value of X, :\sigma^2 is the variance of X. Applying the Cantelli inequality to -X gives a bound on the lower tail, : \Pr(X-\mathbb le -\lambda) \le \frac. While the inequality is often attributed to Francesco Paolo Cantelli who published it in 1928, it originates in Chebyshev's work of 1874. When bounding the event random variable deviates from its mean A mean is a quantity representing the "center" of a collection of numbers and is intermediate to the extreme values of the set of numbers. There are several kinds of means (or "measures of central tendency") in mathematics, es ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Probability Theory
Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms of probability, axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure (mathematics), measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space. Any specified subset of the sample space is called an event (probability theory), event. Central subjects in probability theory include discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and stochastic processes (which provide mathematical abstractions of determinism, non-deterministic or uncertain processes or measured Quantity, quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in a random fashion). Although it is no ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Chebyshev's Inequality
In probability theory, Chebyshev's inequality (also called the Bienaymé–Chebyshev inequality) provides an upper bound on the probability of deviation of a random variable (with finite variance) from its mean. More specifically, the probability that a random variable deviates from its mean by more than k\sigma is at most 1/k^2, where k is any positive constant and \sigma is the standard deviation (the square root of the variance). The rule is often called Chebyshev's theorem, about the range of standard deviations around the mean, in statistics. The inequality has great utility because it can be applied to any probability distribution in which the mean and variance are defined. For example, it can be used to prove the weak law of large numbers. Its practical usage is similar to the 68–95–99.7 rule, which applies only to normal distributions. Chebyshev's inequality is more general, stating that a minimum of just 75% of values must lie within two standard deviations of the ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Random Variable
A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory variable, or stochastic variable) is a Mathematics, mathematical formalization of a quantity or object which depends on randomness, random events. The term 'random variable' in its mathematical definition refers to neither randomness nor variability but instead is a mathematical function (mathematics), function in which * the Domain of a function, domain is the set of possible Outcome (probability), outcomes in a sample space (e.g. the set \ which are the possible upper sides of a flipped coin heads H or tails T as the result from tossing a coin); and * the Range of a function, range is a measurable space (e.g. corresponding to the domain above, the range might be the set \ if say heads H mapped to -1 and T mapped to 1). Typically, the range of a random variable is a subset of the Real number, real numbers. Informally, randomness typically represents some fundamental element of chance, such as in the roll of a dice, d ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Probability Measure
In mathematics, a probability measure is a real-valued function defined on a set of events in a σ-algebra that satisfies Measure (mathematics), measure properties such as ''countable additivity''. The difference between a probability measure and the more general notion of measure (which includes concepts like area or volume) is that a probability measure must assign value 1 to the entire space. Intuitively, the additivity property says that the probability assigned to the union of two disjoint (mutually exclusive) events by the measure should be the sum of the probabilities of the events; for example, the value assigned to the outcome "1 or 2" in a throw of a dice should be the sum of the values assigned to the outcomes "1" and "2". Probability measures have applications in diverse fields, from physics to finance and biology. Definition The requirements for a set function \mu to be a probability measure on a σ-algebra are that: * \mu must return results in the unit interval ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Expected Value
In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, expectation operator, mathematical expectation, mean, expectation value, or first Moment (mathematics), moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informally, the expected value is the arithmetic mean, mean of the possible values a random variable can take, weighted by the probability of those outcomes. Since it is obtained through arithmetic, the expected value sometimes may not even be included in the sample data set; it is not the value you would expect to get in reality. The expected value of a random variable with a finite number of outcomes is a weighted average of all possible outcomes. In the case of a continuum of possible outcomes, the expectation is defined by Integral, integration. In the axiomatic foundation for probability provided by measure theory, the expectation is given by Lebesgue integration. The expected value of a random variable is often denoted by , , or , with a ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Variance
In probability theory and statistics, variance is the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean of a random variable. The standard deviation (SD) is obtained as the square root of the variance. Variance is a measure of dispersion, meaning it is a measure of how far a set of numbers is spread out from their average value. It is the second central moment of a distribution, and the covariance of the random variable with itself, and it is often represented by \sigma^2, s^2, \operatorname(X), V(X), or \mathbb(X). An advantage of variance as a measure of dispersion is that it is more amenable to algebraic manipulation than other measures of dispersion such as the expected absolute deviation; for example, the variance of a sum of uncorrelated random variables is equal to the sum of their variances. A disadvantage of the variance for practical applications is that, unlike the standard deviation, its units differ from the random variable, which is why the standard devi ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Francesco Paolo Cantelli
Francesco Paolo Cantelli (20 December 187521 July 1966) was an Italian mathematician. He made contributions to celestial mechanics, probability theory, and actuarial science. Biography Cantelli was born in Palermo. He received his doctorate in mathematics in 1899 from the University of Palermo with a thesis on celestial mechanics and continued his interest in astronomy by working until 1903 at Palermo Astronomical Observatory (''osservatorio astronomico cittadino''), which was under the direction of Annibale Riccò. Cantelli's early papers were on problems in astronomy and celestial mechanics. From 1903 to 1923 Cantelli worked at the ''Istituto di Previdenza della Cassa Depositi e Prestiti'' (Pension Fund for the Government Deposits and Loans Bank). During these years he did research on the mathematics of finance theory and actuarial science, as well as the probability theory. Cantelli's later work was all on probability theory. Borel–Cantelli lemma, Cantelli's inequa ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Paley–Zygmund Inequality
In mathematics, the Paley–Zygmund inequality bounds the probability that a positive random variable is small, in terms of its first two moments. The inequality was proved by Raymond Paley and Antoni Zygmund. Theorem: If ''Z'' ≥ 0 is a random variable with finite variance, and if 0 \le \theta \le 1, then : \operatorname( Z > \theta\operatorname ) \ge (1-\theta)^2 \frac. Proof: First, : \operatorname = \operatorname Z \, \mathbf_ + \operatorname Z \, \mathbf_ The first addend is at most \theta \operatorname /math>, while the second is at most \operatorname ^2 \operatorname( Z > \theta\operatorname ^ by the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality. The desired inequality then follows. ∎ Related inequalities The Paley–Zygmund inequality can be written as : \operatorname( Z > \theta \operatorname ) \ge \frac. This can be improved. By the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality, : \operatorname .html" ;"title=" - \theta \operatorname[Z"> - \theta \operatorname[Z \le \operatorna ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
